Analysis and assessment of political risks
Автор: Toguzakov O.A., Asanaliev U.A.
Журнал: Международный журнал гуманитарных и естественных наук @intjournal
Рубрика: Политология
Статья в выпуске: 2 (5), 2017 года.
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The article deals with risks that should be understood as a continuous, cumulative, dynamically developing structured activity of the subject at various levels of existential socio-political system in a situation of uncertainty, lack of information about the subject politiko-economic environment in which it operates. Comprehensive research field analysis includes the selection of factors, depending on the goal, the establishment of a system of factors. At the stage of the system of assessing the political risk is determined by the degree of importance of the individual factors, its "weight" in the structure of the model, the correctness of the information received. Political Risk Forecasting involves the development of the most probable scenarios development of the situation and its consequences. Methods used: statistical modeling, historical and general analogy. On the possible preventive measures against negative trends point to political risk management are planned and implemented or strengthened positive - through financial, political support, etc. It can be concluded that the assessment and prediction of risk help to see a variety of possible ways of development and the skillful use of the information received to avoid adverse scenarios. The ambiguity of the definition of the essence of the political risk and raises the problem make it one of the most popular destinations today.
Political risk, uncertainty, investment, political process, risk analysis, international actor
Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/170184495
IDR: 170184495