Detection of general dependencies between production and investment cycles within a modern macrocycle

The paper identifies the distinctive features of recurrent intercyclic dependencies within the framework of the modern macrocycle, specifies the concepts of the production cycle and investment cycles, sets out an algorithm for the statistical study of recurrence dependencies of the investment and production cycle based on the use of process and dynamic approaches. In the framework of the proposed algorithm, a system of indicators is presented, the features of their phase-by-phase dynamics are highlighted in accordance with the characteristics of the statistical base of the research level to determine the current phase of the production and investment cycles. The authors of the article identified the trend and cyclical components of time series characterizing the indicators of production and investment cycles, in the context of the Volga Federal District and its subjects, as well as the Russian Federation as a whole, conducted a correlation and regression analysis of the indicators in question. The research database is based on official data from Rosstat published for the period 1998-2017.