Study of the rela¬tionship of international outsourcing with in¬dicators of intermediate imports and exchange rate fluctuations

The article presents the results of the analysis of indicators characterizing the external trade balance of the Russian Federation, including the dynamics of the national currency, imports, intermediate imports of goods. It is assumed that the dynamics of imports of intermediate goods depends on the exchange rate of the national currency. An attempt is made to build a forecast model based on the assumption of coincidence in the dynamics of indicators of intermediate imports with the dynamics of the national currency.