Short-term forecasting of the gross regional product based on the use of the apparatus of production functions
Автор: Kutyshkin Andrey Valentinovich, Shulgin Oleg Valeryevich
Журнал: Региональная экономика и управление: электронный научный журнал @eee-region
Статья в выпуске: 3 (63), 2020 года.
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The article discusses the issues of short-term forecasting of gross regional product using the elements of the Solow model. On the example of the economy of the Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug, estimates were made of changes in the values of the specified economic indicator with a forecast horizon of one year. For forecasting, production functions of the type CES - functions and VES - functions were used. The forecasting results were compared with the data of socio-economic statistics of the Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation, presented in a regional context.
Khanty-mansi autonomous okrug, regional economic system, gross regional product, production function, solow's model
Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/143172796
IDR: 143172796