Methodological platforms and methods of strategic forecasting: world experience and Russian potential
Автор: Selivanov Aleksandr Ivanovich
Журнал: Власть @vlast
Рубрика: Школа молодого этнополитолога
Статья в выпуске: 1, 2021 года.
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The author States the absence of a strategic forecasting system in Russia and the possibility of developing scientifically based state strategic forecasts; analyzes the state of countries by the nature of the development and use of strategic forecasting; the analysis of the history, achievements and development trends strategic forecasting abroad, especially in the US, which especially applies to the development of methods for strategic forecasting, including expert methods and methods of collective intelligence; assessed Western methodological platform for strategic forecasting as a synthesis of positivism, pragmatism and subjective idealism; the article demonstrates the specifics of strategic forecasting as a goal-based forecasting included in the strategic management system, which determines the specifics of strategic forecasting in relation to other types of forecasting, the combination of long-term and medium-term forecasting, as well as search, regulatory, analytical and cautionary forecasting; the author substantiates the need to combine methodological, fundamental and applied research in research in the field of strategic forecasting and development of strategic forecasts...
Strategic forecast, organization, goal setting, strategic management, methodology, method, positivism, pragmatism, subjective idealism, materialistic dialectic
Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/170174634
IDR: 170174634 | DOI: 10.31171/vlast.v29i1.7955