International commodity trade: new trends

The article examines the latest shifts in the dynamics of global commodity exchange that have manifested themselves in the past and previous years. At this stage, international trade in goods has undergone a noticeable transformation on the verge of reformatting. Therefore, it is natural that the conflict potential that has been accumulating in this area for a long time has led to a pronounced sinusoidal trend in its evolution. Thus, in the period 2019-2023, the value of international exchange first showed a decline, then a short-term growth and again a collapse, by the way, quite noticeable. Indeed, even on the eve of the large-scale spread of a new viral infection in the world, steps were noted by leading Western countries in the direction of redrawing the rules and landscape of modern global trade, and later anti-virus measures, which significantly reduced the value indicators of the global exchange of goods. The subsequent rebound turned out to be unstable, since the peak growth indicators were followed by a more than twofold reduction, which continued in 2023 with a transition to negative rates of evolution of international commodity trade. Among the reasons and triggers of such a negative scenario, one can highlight the attempts of Western countries to segment world trade, logistical difficulties (disruptions in supply chains, etc.), and finally, active sanctions against Russia and a number of its partners over the past few years. The analysis undertaken by the author is based on the generally accepted methodology of comparative statistical research.