Modeling electricity consumption in the territory of Khabarovsk Krai
Автор: Yasenovskaya I.V.
Журнал: Вестник Алтайской академии экономики и права @vestnik-aael
Рубрика: Экономические науки
Статья в выпуске: 9-1, 2025 года.
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The purpose of the study is to assess the functional dependencies in the structure of electricity consumption in Khabarovsk Krai and to build a forecast of electricity consumption based on the assessed models. The theoretical part of the article is based on a descriptive review of the mathematical apparatus used by the author in developing methods for modeling electricity consumption in the territory of the region. To prepare the practical part of the article, statistical information on the volume of electricity consumption in Khabarovsk Krai presented in open sources was used. In the course of the study, a number of models were built that describe the trends in electricity consumption in the territory of the region and compared them. The factors that have the greatest impact on electricity consumption, as well as a number of economic indicators, the influence of which can be neglected when modeling electricity consumption, were identified. Using the assessed indicators of the development of Khabarovsk Krai, a forecast of electricity consumption was built using various models.
Electric power industry, electricity consumption forecast, time series, seasonal decomposition and autoregressive analysis methods, Khabarovsk Krai
Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/142245758
IDR: 142245758 | УДК: 330.4