Genuine long cycles of the industrial and post-industrial ages (19th-21st centuries)
Автор: Smirnov Aleksandr
Журнал: Экономический журнал @economicarggu
Рубрика: Экономические параллели
Статья в выпуске: 1 (29), 2013 года.
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The author questions the existence of N. Kondratiev’s supercycles and waves by showing that the essence of the long cycles cannot be understood without their strong connection with 7-11 year Juglar cycles. It is the interchange of these cycles that defines the evolution of global economy, while the long 21-30-year cycles in fact consist of three Juglar cycles.
Juglar cycles, growth cycles, innovation cycles, shift cycles, basic and improving innovations, space crises, demand crises, periodical crises of technology
Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/14915125
IDR: 14915125