Assessment the conditionality of Samara city population incidence under the influence of environmental factors

The assessment of cause-effect relations between incidence of the population and risk factors of the environment is presented in article. The method of mathematical modeling has revealed interrelation between formation of ecologically dependent pathology among the population and pollution of atmospheric air, water and soil on the example of Samara city. The regression analysis was applied to the analysis of impact on a productive sign of factorial signs. The constructed mathematical models were used for interpretation the received results, only if they corresponded to the criteria, characterizing their adequacy and importance. Statistically significant dependence of oncological diseases on pollution of atmospheric air and water is established by the weighed substances, carbon oxide, formaldehyde, iron and nitrates. Level of cardiovascular diseases significantly depends on the content in atmospheric air the formaldehyde and hydrogen sulfide, in drinking water - nitrates and iron, in the soil - zinc and cadmium. Incidence of diseases of respiratory organs is significantly caused by pollution of atmospheric air by carbon oxide and hydrogen sulfide; waters - by iron, nitrates; soils - by copper, lead, arsenic, zinc and cadmium.