Assessment of the probability of bankruptcy of agricultural organizations based on multifactor models

This article is devoted to the urgent problem of the modern economy - the determination of the probability of bankruptcy of organizations. The study was conducted on the basis of data from agricultural organizations of the Krasnodar Territory. It was revealed that most multifactor foreign models for assessing the probability of bankruptcy have low predictive ability, since they do not take into account the specifics of the activities of Russian organizations and are developed in completely different economic systems. The most acceptable model for assessing the probability of bankruptcy of domestic organizations is S.A. Kucherenko. A distinctive feature of the created model is its development in Russian conditions, taking into account industry affiliation and the level of specialization of the organization, as well as high predictive accuracy.