From the election results in the Russian Federation of 2016 at the regional and macro-regional levels to evaluating the perspectives of the candidates of the main parties at the presidential elections of 2018

The article examines the correlation of the results of elections to the State Duma in 2016 (percentage of voters who supported each of the three main parties) at the regional level, with corresponding results at the macro-regional level. The authors show the reliable links between regional and macro-regional support for the results of the EP and the LDPR, and the lack of such a connection for the results of the Communist Party. In view of these links, the authors see four types of regions: with steadily increased support for a particular party, consistently low support, potential decrease and potential increase in support.. Similar types have been established earlier, taking into account the ties of support of parties in the region with the socio-economic characteristics of the region. Both approaches are considered to be complementary when predicting the electoral behavior of the population of the region.