Creation of the integral indicator of bankruptcy to the type of economic activity construction

Forecasting of probability of business bankruptcy is an actual issue both for a сcompany financial state, and for business partner’s assessment. In this article it is discussed the question of necessity to create an integral indicator of bankruptcy due to the lack of universal models for today. It is shown that the popular models developed by the russian and western scientists are inapplicable for the organizations of the explored industry. On the basis of the analysis of the selected financial ratios was created the model of probit regression for bankruptcy forecast of russian construction companies with prediction accuracy of 93% in a forecast interval from 1 to 3 years.