Prediction of «man-machine» system reliability to assess emergency risks while oil products transportation and storage

Standard formulas of reliability of «man-machine system» while making decisions about localization of accident situations don’t take into account unlimitedness of time. A mathematical tool was worked out, taking into account not only standard time of decision making, but also a connection with psychophysiological human parameters. Its validity is proved on an example of accident situations analysis in railway overpass of a system of petroleum products discharge.