Predicting failure risks in gas distribution networks

The article analyzes the existing methods for predicting accidents and incidents in gas distribution networks and provides a weighted assessment of the main statistical factors. To assess the risk of technical object failures, dependencies are constructed that take into account the probability of an accident and incident, as well as the risks of their consequences. The considered set of statistical indicators can form the basis of a simulation model for making management decisions in the event of failures in gas distribution networks, taking into account the minimization of various types of losses and risks of socio-economic consequences.