The efficiency of the natural movement of the Ural population during the 1927–1934

The problem of the natural movement of the population of the Ural Oblast of the RSFSR and the Bashkir ASSR in 1927-1934 is considered and an assessment is made using the coefficient of its efficiency (KRED), used in modern Russian demography to assess the demographic situation in regions of Russia. It is shown that the socio-economic processes of collectivization and industri-alization that took place in the USSR in the late 1920s and early 1930s did not catastrophically affect the natural movement efficiency of the Ural’s population. There was a short-term demo-graphic crisis in the cities of the Urals in 1933. In rural areas, there was a decrease in the efficien-cy of the natural movement of the population in certain regions of the Middle Urals. Based on the dynamics of the effectiveness of the natural movement of the population, the situation in cities cannot be considered the beginning of a demographic transition, and the local short–term decline in the effectiveness of the natural movement of the population of the Urals in 1933 is a demographic crisis not of collectivization and rural populations, but primarily of indus-trialization (cities and adjacent urbanized regions). For the entire period under review, the popu-lation of the Urals as a whole is characterized by a fairly high rate of natural growth with a total increase in the urban population of about 140 thousand people and rural – 1 million. 260 thou-sand people. The effectiveness of the natural movement of the population of the Urals in the con-sidered catastrophic 1933 was much better than in 2023 and 1892. Based upon the dynamics of the effectiveness of the natural movement of the population, the situation in cities cannot be considered the beginning of a demographic transition, and the local short–term decline in the ef-fectiveness of the natural movement of the population of the Urals in 1933 is not a demographic crisis of collectivization and rural populations, but primarily of industrialization cities and adja-cent urbanized regions. For the entire period under review, the population of the Urals as a whole is characterized by a fairly high rate of natural growth with a total increase in the urban popula-tion of about 140 thousand people and rural – 1 million. 260 thousand people. The effectiveness of the natural movement of the population of the Urals in the considered catastrophic 1933 was much better than in 2023 and 1892.