Social forecasting of nationalism of youth in the polietnichny environment of the provincial region of Russia

This paper presents the results of sociological research of problem of reproduction of risk are presented nationalistic moods of young people of the Altai region. The article of work was a model of social factors of interconditionality of international problems of young people. An aim consisted of research prognosis descriptions of forming of extremist moods. Methodology of work is based on conception, essence of that consists in that sociocultural and everyday practices all anymore stipulated by territory of residence, nationalism. The methods of work include the sociological questioning, frequency, two-dimensional, regressive analysis with the use of the program SPSS 17.0. The basic conclusions of research consist in that young people distinguish the different groups of population, guilty in national conflicts, only at a fourth polled similar conflicts do not meet in this settlement. There are social factors cooperant or impedimental to national tolerance. The indexes related to the crisis of the valued orientations including falling of spirituality, morality, to pride for the people, country, of respect of surrounding, feeling of necessity to the people, love is assisted to the height of nationalistic moods in regard to the people of other nationalities. Such socially economic indicators as, decline of material sufficiency, absence of stability, decline of possibilities to get education, have a good health create favourable terms for intolerant attitude toward people with other world view, conditioned by national belonging. It is reasonable, that national hostility, hostility, fears of terrorist threats of young people, have a social conditionality. Totality of specific socialcjnditions, promotes or prevents to the nationalistic moods, that allows to use scientifically-reasonable data for the prophylaxis of threat of extremism.