Modern approaches to the analysis and risk management of subjects of international relations in the context of escalation of regional conflicts

The article is dedicated to the exploration of modern methodologies for the analysis and management of risks relevant to participants in international relations within the framework of intensifying regional conflicts. The study encompasses an analysis of existing theoretical and practical approaches to the assessment of risks associated with the engagement of international relations entities in regional conflicts. A comprehensive examination of key risk components in contemporary geopolitical circumstances, including political, social, economic, and military dimensions, is undertaken. The author gives special attention to the identification and evaluation of potential threats to participants in international relations amidst the mounting tensions in regional conflicts. Contemporary tools and methods for risk analysis, such as scenario modeling, statistical techniques, data analysis, and expert assessments, are subject to scrutiny. The paper places particular emphasis on the development of prognostic models and strategies for risk management, taking into consideration the specificities of international relations actors and their involvement in conflictual situations. Furthermore, the effectiveness of various approaches to risk management is assessed, and recommendations for the optimization of risk management strategies in the midst of escalating regional conflicts are provided. The research findings and insights presented in this article are pertinent for both theoretical studies in the field of international relations and practical application by entities engaged in international activities facing risks in regional conflict scenarios.