Hipbuilding cluster for the Primorsky territory: the shape of the future - 2050

Currently, the issue of creating a shipbuilding cluster in the Primorsky Territory is being discussed. It is assumed that The association of manufacturers of ship equipment, ship components and final products will contribute to the effective development of cooperation, localization of capacities, cost reduction and import import dependence, and will also allow building a supply chain from beginning to end. On the foresight study basis, probable conditions for the Primorsky Territory shipbuilding cluster formation in the future, up to 2050, are considered. The world trends of shipbuilding development in the field of robotics, artificial intelligence technologies, hybrid engines and hull assembly technology have been studied by the authors. It has been identified possible barriers that might have a partial or complete impact on the cluster development. The authors have presented the cluster development scenarios (pessimistic and optimistic). Necessary types of vessels have been defined for the Far Eastern region domestic needs and foreign trade activities. It is proposed the point-rating system aimed to improve the efficiency of the cluster. Special attention is paid to the environmental safety of the cluster. The main characteristics of the future shipbuilding cluster and necessary conditions for its creation have been outlined, as well as positive effects of the shipbuilding cluster presence in the Far East. It is presented the existing enterprises composition of the cluster and determined the list of new enterprises to be created in order to avoid a dependence on imported equipment. The authors have made a preliminary assessment for the future cluster need in human resources. It is concluded that it is necessary to create an additional 14 enterprises of related areas with a total number of 31.6 thousand people. At this, the staff will require housing and good social infrastructure.