The U.S. - China trade war: economic consequences and risks to global stability

This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the trade war between the United States and China during 2018-2025, examining the economic consequences of the confrontation for the two largest global economies, as well as the risks posed to global stability. The study covers the evolution of the conflict, the impact of mutual tariffs on trade, structural shifts in production and supply chains, and effects on the world economy, commodity markets, and financial systems. Special attention is given to technological restrictions, currency policy, and potential geopolitical implications. Based on the analysis, practical recommendations are proposed for businesses and government authorities aimed at mitigating the negative effects of the trade conflict and stabilizing U.S. - China relations. The research employs systemic and comparative approaches, methods of economic and statistical analysis, and risk scenario modeling, utilizing current data from official sources and analytical reviews.