Identification of key dominant factors determining sustainable development of urban heat supply system

Both in Russia and abroad the population is mainly concentrated in cities. The process of urbanization in the limit will be completed when the last person moves to the city. Now there is an increase in the number of cities and their population. The latter factor requires the city and its systems to be properly developed to ensure the needs of a man and the society including energy of various types. The search for optimal development of the city energy system in the conditions of centralized heat and power supply is an urgent task for Russian cities due to fundamental changes in the structure of energy consumption, equipment aging, climate change, etc. The city power system is a set of generating objects, electric and heat networks connected with each other and interconnected by common modes in the continuous process of production, transformation, transmission and distribution of electric and thermal energy under the general management of this mode. The city energy system is closely connected with the infrastructure, cultural, urban planning, socio-economic and environmental aspects of the city's life which have a certain impact on it. The task of forecasting the sustainable development of the urban heat supply system is to identify and summarize the key dominant factors that determine the sustainable development of the urban heat supply system.