About the role of input-output balance in government regulation of the economy
Автор: Lukin Evgenii Vladimirovich
Журнал: Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast @volnc-esc-en
Рубрика: Socio-economic development strategy
Статья в выпуске: 3 (51) т.10, 2017 года.
Бесплатный доступ
March 30, 2017, a notable event took place in Russia: the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) published the basic input-output balance (IOB) for the national economy for 2011 and the tables that show the resources and utilization of products for 2012-2014. Economists have been waiting for this event for more than 20 years. The latest IOB was made in 1995. The present paper summarizes theoretical foundations of input-output balance and basic methodological approaches to its construction. It is shown that input-output balance is the basis for government regulation of the economy in industrialized countries. The paper evaluates the situation with the availability of necessary statistical information to build the “input - output” tables for the Russian economy. The author highlights possible areas, in which input-output balance can be used in government regulation of the economy. It is proved that input-output balance contains all the main macroeconomic indicators of the country (region) in its sectoral and national economic context...
Input-output balance, government regulation of the economy, analysis, modeling, forecasting
Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/147223951
IDR: 147223951 | DOI: 10.15838/esc.2017.3.51.2
Список литературы About the role of input-output balance in government regulation of the economy
- Aganbegyan A.G., Granberg A.G. Ekonomiko-matematicheskii analiz mezhotraslevogo balansa SSSR . Moscow: Mysl', 1968. 357 p..
- Gil'mundinov V.M. Kontseptsiya ucheta vozdeistviya shokov fiskal'noi i monetarnoi politiki na otraslevuyu strukturu ekonomiki v obshcheravnovesnoi mezhotraslevoi modeli s blokami agregirovannykh rynkov . In: Alekseev A.V., Kazantseva L.K. (Eds.) Problemy i perspektivy modernizatsii rossiiskoi ekonomiki: sb. nauch. tr. . Novosibirsk: IEOPP SO RAN, 2014. Pp. 61-68..
- Granberg A.G. Modelirovanie sotsialisticheskoi ekonomiki . Moscow: Ekonomika, 1998. 487 p..
- Gubanov S. Neoindustrializatsiya plyus vertikal'naya integratsiya (o formule razvitiya Rossii) . Ekonomist , 2008, no. 9, pp. 3-27..
- Dolgosrochnyi prognoz razvitiya ekonomiki Rossii na 2007-2030 gg. (po variantam) . Problemy prognozirovaniya , 2007, no. 6, pp. 3-45..
- Ershov E.B., Rutkovskaya E.A. Vzaimosvyazi kapital'nykh vlozhenii i vvodov osnovnykh fondov v dinamicheskoi modeli mezhotraslevogo balansa . Ekonomika i matematicheskie metody , 1978, vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 53-64..
- Iogman L.G., Shirov A.A., Yantovskii A.A., Kuvalin D.B. Dolgosrochnyi prognoz sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Vologodskoi oblasti . Problemy prognozirovaniya , 2009, no. 1, pp. 74-92..
- Shirov A.A. et al. Kompleksnaya otsenka makroekonomicheskogo effekta razlichnykh form glubokogo ekonomicheskogo sotrudnichestva Ukrainy so stranami Tamozhennogo soyuza i Edinogo ekonomicheskogo prostranstva v ramkakh EvrAzES: monografiya . Saint Petersburg: Tsentr integratsionnykh issledovanii, 2012. 168 p..
- Kuchukov R. Modernizatsiya ekonomiki: problemy i zadachi . Ekonomist , 2010, no. 1, pp. 20-29..
- Leont'ev V.V. Mezhotraslevaya ekonomika . Moscow: Ekonomika, 1997. 479 p..
- Lukin E.V. O faktorakh rosta ekonomiki . Voprosy territorial'nogo razvitiya , 2016, no. 2. Available at: http://vtr.vscc.ac.ru/article/1819..
- Lukin E.V. Parametry tekhnologicheskogo razvitiya ekonomiki Rossii . Voprosy territorial'nogo razvitiya , 2015, no. 7 (27). Available at: http://vtr.isert-ran.ru/file.php?module=Articles&action=view&file=article&aid=5245..
- Mel'nikova L.V. Tablitsy "zatraty -vypusk": put' k sblizheniyu natsii . EKO, 2011, no. 5, pp. 27-34..
- Metodologicheskie polozheniya po statistike. Vypusk pervyi . Moscow, 1996. 510 p..
- Mikheeva N.N. Tablitsy "zatraty-vypusk": novye vozmozhnosti ekonomicheskogo analiza . Voprosy ekonomiki , 2011, no. 7, pp. 140-148..
- Natsional'nye scheta Rossii . Available at: http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/b14_15..
- Ob informatsii o mezhotraslevykh svyazyakh i strukturnykh proportsiyakh ekonomiki RF: Rasporyazhenie Pravitel'stva RF ot 14.02.2009 g.№ 201-r . Konsul'tantPlyus ..
- OK 029-2014 (KDES Red. 2). Obshcherossiiskii klassifikator vidov ekonomicheskoi deyatel'nosti (red. ot 07.10.2016): utv. Prikazom Rosstandarta ot 31.01.2014 g. № 14-st . Konsul'tantPlyus ..
- Pogosov I.A., Sokolovskaya E.A. Balans resursov i ispol'zovaniya produktsii v Rossii v nachale XXI veka . Moscow: Institut ekonomiki RAN, 2014. 36 p..
- Potapenko V.V. Posledstviya izmenenii stavok strakhovykh vznosov na obyazatel'noe sotsial'noe strakhovanie . Available at: http://www.ecfor.ru/pdf.php?id=books/sa2011/11..
- Ryabushkin B. Razvitie otechestvennoi metodologii i analiticheskikh vozmozhnostei mezhotraslevogo balansa . Ekonomist , 2013, no 07, pp. 66-73..
- Savchishina K.E. Itogi XX mezhdunarodnoi konferentsii po mezhotraslevomu modelirovaniyu INFORUM . Problemy prognozirovaniya , 2012, no. 6, pp. 144-148..
- Website of the Regional Institute for Economic Planning of Tuscany. Available at: http://www.irpet.it
- Website of Universität Osnabrück. Available at: http://www.uni-osnabrueck.de
- Website of the University of Florence. Available at: http://www.unifi.it
- Website of the University of Lodz. Available at: http://iso.uni.lodz.pl
- Website of the University of Maryland. Available at: http://www.umd.edu
- Website of Kazan Federal University. Available at: http://kpfu.ru..
- Serebryakov G.R., Uzyakov M.N., Yantovskii A.A. Mezhotraslevaya model' ekonomiki Ivanovskoi oblasti . Problemy prognozirovaniya , 2002, no. 4, pp. 64-74..
- Serebryakov G.R. Opyt postroeniya dinamicheskoi mezhotraslevoi ravnovesnoi modeli rossiiskoi ekonomiki . Problemy prognozirovaniya , 2000, no. 2, pp. 3-19..
- Stone R. Metod zatraty -vypusk i natsional'nye scheta . Translated from English. Moscow: Statistika, 1964. 263 p..
- Strizhkova L.A. Mezhotraslevye traditsii GU IMEI i problema tovarnykh balansov . Available at: http://www.macroeconomics.ru/MOB_nujen.pdf..
- Suvorov N.V., Suvorov A.V., Borisov V.N. Ekonomicheskii rost, mezhotraslevye proportsii i prioritety razvitiya real'nogo sektora v srednesrochnoi perspektive . Problemy prognozirovaniya , 2002, no. 4, pp. 49-64..
- Suslov N.I. Modelirovanie i analiz mezhotraslevykh i mezhregional'nykh vzaimosvyazei razvitiya energeticheskogo sektora Rossii . Available at: http://regconf.hse.ru/uploads/70c02bddf34324a2cd7115725c17570c3138da1c.doc..
- Suspitsyn S.A. Proekt SIRENA: kompleks modelei situatsionnogo analiza regional'nogo razvitiya . Novosibirsk: IEOPP SO RAN, 2002. 108 p..
- Shirov A.A., Gusev M.S. Logika perekhoda k novoi modeli ekonomicheskogo rosta . Ekonomist , 2015, no. 9, pp. 5-12..
- Shirov A.A., Gusev M.S., Yantovskii A.A. Obosnovanie vozmozhnykh stsenariev dolgosrochnogo razvitiya rossiiskoi EKOnomiki . EKO, 2012, no. 6, pp. 60-80..
- Shirov A.A., Potapenko V.V. Prognoz razvitiya pensionnoi sistemy Rossii na period do 2030 g. . EKO, 2011, no. 3, pp. 38-57..
- Yamada I. Teoriya i primenenie mezhotraslevogo metoda . Moscow: Izd-vo inostr. lit-ry, 1963. 255 p..
- Yaremenko Yu.V. Teoriya i metodologiya issledovaniya mnogourovnevoi ekonomiki . Moscow: Nauka, 1997. 400 p..
- Baranov A., Gilmundinov V., Pavlov V., Tagaeva T. Forecast for the Development of the Russian Economy for 2012-2015 Using the Dynamic Input-Output Model. In: Bardazzi R., Ghezzi L. (Eds.). Macroeconomic modelling for policy analysis. Firenze: Firenze Univ. Press, 2013. Pp. 135-146.
- Baumol W. Leontief's Great Leap Forward. Economic Systems Research, 2000, no. 12, pp. 141-152.
- Eurostat Manual of Supply, Use and Input-Output Tables. Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, 2008. 590 p.
- Global Trade Analysis Project. Available at: https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu
- Grassini M. Accumulation and Competitiveness. Available at: http://inforumweb.umd.edu/papers/conferences/2009/grassini_paper.pdf
- Input-Output Accounts Data. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Available at: http://bea.gov/industry/io_annual.htm
- Jiang Х. Statistical and Economic Applications of Chinese Regional Input-Output Tables. Groningen: University of Groningen, 2011. 228 p.
- Kurz H.D. Who is Going to Kiss Sleeping Beauty? On the "Classical" Analytical Origins and Perspectives of Input -Output Analysis. Review of Political Economy, 2011, vol. 23, no. 1, pp. 25-47.
- Miller R.E., Blair P.D. Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extension. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2009. 784 p.
- Nishimura S. Towards Analysis of Vertical Structure of Industries: A Method and its Application to U.S. Industries. Available at: https://www.iioa.org/working_papers/WPs/WPIOX11-001.pdf
- Oosterhaven J., Stelder D., Inomata S. Evaluation of Non-Survey International IO Construction Methods with the Asian-Pacific Input-Output Table. Available at: http://ir.ide.go.jp/dspace/bitstream/2344/641/3/ARRIDE_Discussion_No.114_inomata.pdf
- Raa T. Input-Output Economics: Theory and Applications. Featuring Asian Economies. Singapore: World Scientific Publishing Co., 2010. 549 p.
- Raa T. The Economics of Input-Output Analysis. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2005. 212 p.
- Richter J. Commodity taxes, commodity subsidies, margins and the like. Available at: http://inforumweb.umd.edu/papers/conferences/2010/Richter.pdf