Diagnosis and prognosis of adolescent self-management

The article proposes a method for diagnosing and predicting the process of self-management of a teenager, built on the basis of an appropriate mathematical model. The article briefly presents a mathematical idealization of the process of selfmanagement of a teenager, a mathematical model in terms of differential equations, which consider the dependence of self-management on the presence or absence of intrinsic motivation for self-management, on the inflow or outflow of resources. It also considers the mode of gradual reduction of pedagogical influence. The conclusions about the qualitative behavior of the model are consistent with empirical observations of the adolescent behaviour. The article describes a pedagogical experiment in diagnosing the level of adolescent self-management, and a statistical comparison of experimental and “model” data. A new method of processing experimental data is proposed, it is based on the results of a study of the qualitative behaviour of the model, which makes it possible, in contrast to existing methods, to predict the further development of the process of adolescent self-management.