To the problem of measuring risk in the process of selecting managerial decisions

Бесплатный доступ

The article gives an analysis of the situation of collective choice of a management decision in conditions of uncertainty under the essentially different attitude of experts to risk. It is shown that in this case the series of preferences built by the experts according to the criterion of the value of information, reflect the order relations of their preferences concerning the probabilities of achieving the management goal. This circumstance naturally leads to the formation of an ordinal scale to measure their individual attitude to risk. The authors justify the attraction of a specific group of criteria for the choice of strategies under statistical uncertainty (the problem of playing with nature) for objective gradation of scale values of the ordinal scale. This makes it possible to establish strict-order relations between scale values and to construct the most likely a priori series of expert preferences depending on their attitude to risk.

Еще

Situation of collective choice, conditions of uncertainty, criteria for the value of information, series of preferences, n. bohr's principle of complementarity

Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/148327110

IDR: 148327110   |   DOI: 10.18137/RNU.V9187.23.02.P.113

Статья научная