Clusterization of districts of Orel region in terms of milk production

Автор: Lyashuk R.N., Shumetov V.G., Lyashuk A.R.

Журнал: Вестник аграрной науки @vestnikogau

Рубрика: Экономика АПК

Статья в выпуске: 3 (66), 2017 года.

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The purpose of the study is to determine the main trends in milk production in the Orel region by conducting economic statistical and cluster analysis n by districts for the period 2009-2015. At the level of similarity of districts within clusters not less than 80% four clusters are formed, of which three include approximately equal number of districts (7-8), and the leader - Krasnozorenskiy district - forms an independent cluster. The percentage of correct classification is high - 95.8%, which allows us to adopt the cluster solution obtained by hierarchical analysis as a working model in further analysis. As a result of the cluster analysis, the Orel regions are characterized by different dynamics of milk production per capita, as well as an increase in this indicator, including: the first cluster is a the central cluster, the annual milk production there corresponds to the average level in the Orel region - about 550 kg / year per capita, which exceeds the recommended production by the Ministry of Health Standard (325 kg / person per year); the second cluster is characterized by milk production values - about 310 kg / year per capita, inferior to the standard, as well as reliable negative average annual dynamics of the indicator; the third cluster for milk production per capita is above the average for the region - about 627 kg, which in turn exceeds the Ministry of Health standard twice. Negative dynamics of production of dairy products were established; the fourth cluster, represented by the Krasnozorensk district, is markedly distinguished both by high production indicators and by general indicators of growth.

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Milk production per capita, orel region, agricultural areas, linear regression models, informative dynamics parameters, cluster analysis

Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/147124409

IDR: 147124409

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