The global population growth model for XXI century
Автор: Sedunov B.I.
Журнал: Вестник Российского нового университета. Серия: Человек и общество @vestnik-rosnou-human-and-society
Рубрика: Экономические науки менеджмент
Статья в выпуске: 1, 2015 года.
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The hyperbolic law for the Global population growth holds during the both last millennia with a pretty large precision. The paper presents the based on this law a model for saturated population growth. To the author's mind, this law is due to a constant value for the labor needed for the Human ecological niche doubling. The exponential dependence of the labor constant on the Global population is suggested as a possible inhibition mechanism in the XXI century. The scenarios with different exponents have been considered and the sevens degree has been shown to correspond to known forecasts for the Global population growth up to 2050. The steep growth of the labor constant in the nearest decades may influence greatly the Human lifestyle
Global population, numerical modeling, hyperbolic law, ecological niche, growth saturation
Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/148161075
IDR: 148161075