About the possibilities of forecasting driver's accident

The paper describes the approach to solving the problem of the high accident rate on the roads in Russia. The paper points the importance of driving analysis not as an activity but as a behavior, including a multicomponent combined activity of the driver and its interaction with other road users. It is proposed to solve the problem of accidents through conducting of preventive work, in particular, through forecasting the accident drivers. Forecast of accidents to be carried out on the basis of estimates of the ratio of driving style characteristics (determined by personal characteristics of the driver), and professional and important qualities of the driver. The paper sums the results up of the long-term empirical research, in the framework of which was created the questionnaire "Driving style". It was examined the relationship between the inclination of the driver to comply with traffic rules and accidents. It was investigated compensatory possibilities style of activity (such as the characteristics of the driving style) communication between personal (were analyzed accentuation of the driver's personality, lifestyle index, risk sentiment) and stylistic characteristics of the driver, determined by differences in the characteristics of the style of driving accidents and accident-free drivers. The paper gives an approach to the evaluation of driving style as a dangerous, unsafe and safe (to date in respect of the potential). Danger ─ non-hazardous driving style is associated with a propensity-averse of drivers to comply with traffic rules. Safety - insecurity determined by the nature of activity within the style of driving styles depending on whether it is compensation or compensatory nature. Relevance - potentiality of accident-fail-safety of driver is determined based of preserving the reliability of the driver in the different modes of activity.