Assessment of the adequacy of the product reproduction model at defense industry enterprises in the conditions of diversification

Due to the a priori uncertainty of some of the initial information used in modeling the reproduction of products in the conditions of production diversification, it is necessary to verify the adequacy of the developed model based on the requirements of the theories of system analysis, operations research and the effectiveness of the functioning of the military-industrial complex. A generalized indicator of the process under consideration is the time to increase the volume of military output to a given level. To assess the adequacy of the model, a methodological approach was used, implemented in the generally accepted methodology for checking various models for adequacy. However, in contrast to this technique, instead of a regression equation (as in the classical theory of adequacy testing), an analytical dependence of the mathematical expectation of the time of increasing the volume of military products on the input deterministic parameters of this process is proposed.