Assessing the balanced development of socio-ecological-economic regional systems

The article is devoted to determining the trends in the development of regional systems by assessing the balance of economic, social and environmental subsystems using the "sustainable development window” (SuWi). The essence of the method is to determine the minimum social and maximum environmental boundaries, which determine the "width of the window” within which the region’s economic growth should take place, estimated by the GRP value. In addition to balance, the method also allows analyzing the dynamics of social and environmental boundaries over time. All this contributes to the justification of managerial decisions in the field of sustainable regional development. We made the calculation on the basis of statistical data of the Perm Territory and the Sverdlovsk Region for the period 2015-2021. The analysis of the SuWi dynamics limits according to the indicators of average per capita monetary income of the population, and pollutant emissions show the absence of a sustainable development window in the Perm Territory. The window exists in the Sverdlovsk Region, but the real GRP growth rate is below the minimum SuWi threshold, therefore, it does not contribute to the welfare in the social sphere. At the same time, emissions of harmful substances are high enough for such low rates of economic growth. In terms of employment and morbidity rates, the Perm Territory also lacks a sustainable development window. At the same time, there is a negative correlation between employment and GRP. The growth rate of the Perm Territory economy provides an adequate standard of living only for working citizens. The identification of the nature and causes of imbalances in the development of socio-ecological-economic systems of the regions increases the validity of decisions in this area and puts them in a paradigmatic context, which was not provided for in the methods solving similar problems.