Crime and external migration in the regions of the Russian Federation as an indicator for studying social and ethno-cultural tensions, as well as the risk of the spread of terrorist and extremist ideology: defenseless subjects of the Russian Federation (1st half of 2020)

With the economic and social crisis, the methods of making forecasts of social tension in the regions of the Russian Federation are relevant. They are needed for the regional and federal authorities to take timely measures to reduce tension. A kind of social tension is ethno-social tension. It is significant in the historically multi-ethnic regions of the Russian Federation, in large cities and in the constituent entities of the Federation with a high activity of the flow of external migrants. We analyzed the state of ethno-social tension in the regions of the Russian Federation during the coronavirus pandemic based on preliminary data from the General Prosecutor’s Office of Russia and the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia on registered crimes and registration / deregistration of foreign migrants.