Problems and prospects of the development of dairy products sub-complex of Siberia

Dairy subcomplex plays a key role in the food supply of the population of Siberia. In 2021, the level of self-sufficiency of the population with milk and dairy products in the Siberian region amounted to 95.2%, on average in Russia - 84.3%. According to the Doctrine of Food Security, the level of self-sufficiency in milk and dairy products in Russia should be at least 90% [1]; The level of consumption of milk and dairy products per person in Russia is 241 kg, in Siberia - 242 kg. This is 25-30% below the recommended medical norm. Forecast calculations show that milk production by 2030 may amount to 5195-6000 thousand tons of milk in all categories of farms. With a forecast level of consumption of 280-320 kg per person, the export of milk and dairy products through interregional relations and for export can amount to 68-134 thousand tons according to the options. The level of self-sufficiency of the Siberian Federal District with milk and dairy products is 101-102% Prospects for the development of the dairy subcomplex are associated with the growth of the number of cows and the productivity of dairy cattle on an intensive basis. Currently, the state of the dairy subcomplex is assessed as a crisis. The predominance of imports over exports, low effective demand of the population hinder the development of the milk market and lead to overproduction of finished dairy products. The volumes of stocks of milk-intensive products in the warehouses of manufacturers are growing. Processing enterprises reduce the volume of the purchased milk. As a result, the prices for raw milk are falling. The crisis in the dairy industry is deepening.