Forecasting bankruptcies of legal entities in the Russian Federation

This article analyzes the dynamics of bankruptcies of legal entities in the Russian Federa-tion from 2007 to 2017. The type of model is chosen and the model is constructed in the state space, the dependence of bankruptcies of enterprises every year and the influence on them of such factors as the gross domestic product of the state, the national currency rate, the gross domestic product per capita, and the consumer credit rate. The trends in the development of all factors have been determined, and their forecasting has been carried out. Based on the forecast of the above factors, a forecast of bankruptcies of legal entities in the Russian Federation was obtained, and the dependence of the forecast on changes in trends in the development of factors was determined. Thus, the patterns of growth of bankrupt legal entities in the Russian Federation have been revealed, depending on the state's GDP and each year the exchange rate of the ruble.