Forecasting social phenomena and deterministic chaos theory

Forecasting social phenomena is frequently hindered in many respects. It results from the fact that there are strong and multilateral relations between these phenomena and other social phenomena as well as physical and biological (natural) ones. The research discusses a number of forecasting issues in social sciences. The author identifies the possibilities of applying the modelling techniques which are not typically used by political scientists and originate from the exact sciences (chaos theory, in particular the deterministic chaos theory) to study social phenomena and processes. On the one hand, more frequent use of various research methods being a part of both exact sciences and humanities is unjustified due to the fact that the scope of these sciences is different. On the other hand, it is treated as an attempt to discover new knowledge, especially in the context of interdisciplinarity and the research on the so-called final theory. Assuming that science has to focus on unanswered questions, it is worth considering whether a prognostic political scientist should use the above-mentioned research methods and apply the deterministic chaos theory’s findings to the phenomena of social (or interfacing) sciences, including economy, logistics and other sciences.