Public opinion monitoring of the state of the Russian society
Автор: Ilyin Vladimir Aleksandrovich
Журнал: Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast @volnc-esc-en
Рубрика: From the chief editor
Статья в выпуске: 6 (30) т.6, 2013 года.
Бесплатный доступ
Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/147223523
IDR: 147223523
Текст обзорной статьи Public opinion monitoring of the state of the Russian society
More details on the results of ISEDT RAS polls are available at
Assessment of the RF President’s performance in coping with key issues
2013, as compared with 2012, witnessed improvement in the estimations of the RF President’s success in dealing with all the key issues. For instance, the assessment of strengthening Russia’s international standing increased by 3%, the assessment of the RF President’s success in imposing order in the country increased by 4%. However, it is alarming that over half of the respondents (57%) do not consider that the President’s performance in dealing with the issue of economic recovery and increasing the citizens’ welfare is successful.
Table 2. Dynamics of the answers to the question: “How successfully, in your opinion, does the RF President cope with the following challenging issues?”* (as a percentage of the number of respondents)
|
Indicator |
2007 |
2011 |
2012 |
Feb. 2013 |
Apr. 2013 |
June 2013 |
Aug. 2013 |
Oct. 2013 |
Dec. 2013 |
Average for the last 6 surveys |
Dynamics (+/-), the last 6 surveys in comparison wit |
||
|
2012 |
2011 |
2007 |
|||||||||||
|
Strengthening Russia’s international standing |
|||||||||||||
|
Successfully |
58.4 |
46.2 |
43.1 |
45.1 |
46.7 |
41.7 |
45.3 |
47.7 |
47.5 |
45.7 |
+3 |
-1 |
-13 |
|
Unsuccessfully |
24.9 |
33.7 |
37.9 |
34.4 |
39.5 |
37.1 |
36.4 |
33.7 |
35.8 |
36.2 |
-2 |
+3 |
+11 |
|
Index of success |
133.5 |
112.5 |
105.2 |
110.7 |
107.2 |
104.6 |
108.9 |
114.0 |
111.7 |
109.5 |
+4 |
-3 |
-24 |
|
Imposing order in the country |
|||||||||||||
|
Successfully |
53.2 |
36.6 |
35.4 |
37.7 |
37.2 |
35.1 |
39.9 |
41.7 |
44.5 |
39.4 |
+4 |
+3 |
-14 |
|
Unsuccessfully |
34.0 |
50.0 |
50.7 |
46.5 |
49.9 |
49.9 |
46.7 |
46.7 |
45.5 |
47.5 |
-3 |
-3 |
+14 |
|
Index of success |
119.2 |
86.6 |
84.7 |
91.2 |
87.3 |
85.2 |
93.2 |
95.0 |
99.0 |
91.8 |
+7 |
+5 |
-27 |
|
Protecting democracy and strengthening citizens’ freedoms |
|||||||||||||
|
Successfully |
44.4 |
32.4 |
28.8 |
30.0 |
30.4 |
29.1 |
34.7 |
33.5 |
32.8 |
31.8 |
+3 |
-1 |
-13 |
|
Unsuccessfully |
37.0 |
48.3 |
52.3 |
49.8 |
54.9 |
50.0 |
48.5 |
50.9 |
51.6 |
51.0 |
-1 |
+3 |
+14 |
|
Index of success |
107.4 |
84.1 |
76.5 |
80.2 |
75.5 |
79.1 |
86.2 |
82.6 |
81.2 |
80.8 |
+4 |
-3 |
-27 |
|
Economic recovery and increase in citizens’ welfare |
|||||||||||||
|
Successfully |
47.2 |
30.7 |
28.5 |
30.7 |
31.9 |
28.2 |
32.6 |
31.9 |
32.6 |
31.3 |
+3 |
+1 |
-16 |
|
Не успешно |
39.1 |
56.1 |
57.9 |
53.9 |
59.6 |
56.7 |
53.4 |
57.7 |
59.7 |
56.8 |
-1 |
+1 |
+18 |
|
Index of success |
108.1 |
74.6 |
70.6 |
76.8 |
72.3 |
71.5 |
79.2 |
74.2 |
72.9 |
74.5 |
+4 |
0 |
-34 |
* Ranked according to the average value of the index of success for the last six surveys. For calculating each index the share of negative answers is subtracted from the share of positive answers, after that 100 is added to the obtained figure in order to avoid negative values. Consequently, fully negative answers would give the total index 0, fully positive answers – index 200, the balance between the former and the latter – index 100, which is, in fact, a neutral mark. The index of social strain has a reversed order of values: 0 points is an absolutely positive value, 200 points – an absolutely negative value.
Estimation of social condition
The share of positive assessments of social mood and stock of patience on average for 2013 has increased in comparison with 2012. However, on average for the last 6 surveys there has been an increase in the share of the oblast population, who consider themselves “poor” and “extremely poor”.
Table 3. Estimation of social condition (as a percentage of the number of respondents)
|
Answer options |
2007 |
2011 |
2012 |
Feb. 2013 |
Apr. 2013 |
June 2013 |
Aug. 2013 |
Oct. 2013 |
Dec. 2013 |
Average for the last 6 surveys |
Dynamics (+/-), the last 6 surveys in comparison with |
||
|
2012 |
2011 |
2007 |
|||||||||||
|
Mood |
|||||||||||||
|
Usual condition, good mood |
63.6 |
63.1 |
67.3 |
66.6 |
68.6 |
66.4 |
68.7 |
71.5 |
69.6 |
68.6 |
+1 |
+5 |
+5 |
|
Feeling stress, anger, fear, depression |
27.8 |
28.9 |
27.0 |
30.5 |
26.0 |
25.9 |
26.3 |
24.0 |
26.2 |
26.5 |
-1 |
-2 |
-1 |
|
Stock of patience |
|||||||||||||
|
Everything is not so bad; it is difficult to live, but it is possible to stand it |
74.1 |
74.8 |
76.6 |
75.5 |
77.9 |
77.8 |
79.7 |
81.6 |
83.1 |
79.3 |
+3 |
+5 |
+5 |
|
It is impossible to bear such plight |
13.6 |
15.3 |
15.8 |
16.1 |
16.5 |
13.7 |
14.7 |
12.3 |
12.0 |
14.2 |
-2 |
-1 |
+1 |
|
Social self-identification |
|||||||||||||
|
The share of people who consider themselves to have average income |
48.2 |
43.1 |
44.7 |
44.3 |
42.6 |
41.9 |
44.9 |
45.7 |
43.7 |
43.9 |
-1 |
+1 |
-4 |
|
The share of people who consider themselves to be poor and extremely poor |
42.4 |
44.3 |
44.5 |
45.9 |
48.2 |
48.3 |
46.8 |
45.4 |
46.7 |
46.9 |
+2 |
+3 |
+5 |
|
Consumer Sentiment Index |
|||||||||||||
|
Index value, points |
105.9 |
89.6 |
91.5 1 |
92.3 |
90.4 |
89.8 |
91.0 |
90.4 |
87.9 1 |
90.3 |
-1 |
+1 |
-16 |
Attitude of the population toward political parties
The dynamics of support to the party of power shows no positive changes. As in 2007 and in 2011, on average for the past six surveys, the level of support was 29–30%. At that, the significant share of the oblast residents consider that no political party among currently existing ones expresses their interests (in 2007 – 18%, in 2011 – 29%, in 2012 – 31%, on average for the last 6 surveys – 35%).
Table 4. Dynamics of the answers to the question: “Which party expresses your interests?”, as a percentage of the number of respondents
|
Party |
2007 |
сс о" ° Е о о Q В В ш 55 |
2011 |
° Е о о 'о ^ ш СО |
2012 |
Feb. 2013 |
April 2013 |
June 2013 |
Aug. 2013 |
Оct. 2013 |
Dec. 2013 |
Average for the last 6 surveys |
Dynamics (+/-), the last 6 surveys in comparison with |
||
|
2012 |
2011 |
2007 |
|||||||||||||
|
United Russia |
30.2 |
60.5 |
31.1 |
33.4 |
29.1 |
30.5 |
28.5 |
31.3 |
29.6 |
26.9 |
29.5 |
29.4 |
0 |
-2 |
-1 |
|
KPRF |
7.0 |
9.3 |
10.3 |
16.8 |
10.6 |
9.7 |
11.0 |
11.3 |
12.0 |
11.9 |
11.8 |
11.3 |
+1 |
+1 |
+4 |
|
LDPR |
7.5 |
11.0 |
7.8 |
15.4 |
7.8 |
6.3 |
7.1 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
8.4 |
8.1 |
7.2 |
-1 |
-1 |
0 |
|
Just Russia |
7.8 |
8.8 |
5.6 |
27.2 |
6.6 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
-2 |
-1 |
-3 |
|
Other |
1.8 |
– |
1.9 |
– |
2.1 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
2.0 |
3.4 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
0 |
+1 |
+1 |
|
No party |
17.8 |
– |
29.4 |
– |
31.3 |
35.3 |
37.1 |
31.7 |
33.4 |
37.3 |
34.4 |
34.9 |
+4 |
+6 |
+17 |
|
It is difficult to answer |
21.2 |
– |
13.2 |
– |
11.7 |
9.3 |
7.8 |
12.3 |
10.5 |
10.5 |
10.9 |
10.2 |
-2 |
-3 |
-11 |
