The development of the agricultural sector of the Ural macroregion and the forecast of the evolution of the regional agro-food system

The article analyzes the main trends in the development of the agricultural sector and the agri–food system of a large region - the Greater Urals, consisting of 7 subjects of the Russian Federation. Based on the analysis, a number of problems of agricultural production development in the region are shown, especially in the field of dairy production. The development of trends in self-sufficiency of the region's population with a number of types of agricultural products is shown. Based on the analysis of the literature, the main directions of forecasting the development of the regional agricultural sector and the agro-food system have been identified. The effectiveness of existing forecasts for the development of the agricultural sector at the level of the Russian Federation is analyzed. The author's version of the forecast of the development of production of a number of types of agricultural products at the regional level is proposed.