Regression analysis of the drug situation in the Russian Federation: method, influence of factor variables, forecasting possibilities

Factor signs affecting the final indicator of the development of the drug situation are considered in the article based on the analysis of regressive models. The parameters of modeling the number of drug crimes in the federal districts of the Russian Federation are described. The model where factor characteristics have a certain corrective effect on the forecasting indicators of drug crime is presented. The conclusion on the possibility of using the forecasting method based on regressive models to obtain sufficiently representative information about the quantitative and qualitative regularity of the development of the drug threat is formulated in the article.