Shaping the population and labor resources in the Russian Far East

Shaping the population and labor resources in the Russian Far East

Автор: Motrich Ekaterina L., Molodkovets Lyudmila A.

Журнал: Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast @volnc-esc-en

Рубрика: Socio-economic development strategy

Статья в выпуске: 1 (61) т.12, 2019 года.

Бесплатный доступ

The article is devoted to the problems of demographic situation in the Far East of Russia. It considers the formation of the population and labor potential; shows the dynamics of the population in the Far East according to the all-Union (1989) and all-Russian population censuses (2002 and 2010) and the current population accounting for 01.01.2018; reveals the trend of long-term reduction in the number of inhabitants in the macroregion; substantiates the need to implement the objective to secure population. The relevance of the study is due to the need to determine the risks with the emerging parameters of the natural and migration components involved in the demographic indicators of the Far Eastern region, in the implementation of the strategy to achieve the population according to the Concept of demographic policy in the Far East1 adopted in 2017. The factors contributing to the reduction of natural population growth are covered. The negative role of migration in the population dynamics in the macroregion is noted...

Еще

Population, natural movement, migration, age structure, life expectancy, retirement age, macroregion, region, Russia, far east, concept

Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/147224138

IDR: 147224138   |   DOI: 10.15838/esc.2019.1.61.3

Список литературы Shaping the population and labor resources in the Russian Far East

  • Antonov A.I., Borisov V.A. Dinamika naseleniya Rossii v 21 veke i prioritety demograficheskoi politiki . Moscow, 2006. 192 p.
  • Motrich E.L., Izotov D.A. Current trends and migration problems in the border region of Russia: the Far East. Problemy prognozirovaniya=Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2018, no. 3, pp. 28-37..
  • Minakir P.A., Sergienko V.I. (Eds.). Sintez nauchno-tekhnicheskikh i ekonomicheskikh prognozov: Tikhookeanskaya Rossiya -2050 . Vladivostok: Dal'nauka, 2011. 912 p.
  • Iontsev V.A., Sagradov A.A. (Eds.). Naselenie Rossii na rubezhe XX -XXI vekov: problemy i perspektivy . Мoscow: MAKS-Press, 2002. 352 p.
  • Bobkov V.N., Elizarov V.V., Dzhanaeva N.G., Danilova I.A., Malikov N.S., Sinitsa A.L. Methodological bases of working out regional programs for demographic development with regard to regional features. Uroven' zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii=Level of Life of the Population of Region of Russia, 2013, no. 1 (179), pp. 10-17..
  • Vishnevskii A.G. Izbrannye demograficheskie trudy. T.1. Demograficheskaya teoriya i demograficheskaya istoriya . Moscow: Nauka, 2005. 214 p.
  • Vorob'eva O.D. Rynok truda i migratsiya . Moscow: MAKS Press, 2011. 76 p.
  • Elizarov V.V. Demographic development in Russia and its regions: general and particular. Uroven' zhizni naseleniya regionov Rossii=Level of Life of the Population of Region of Russia, 2014, no. 1 (191), pp. 57-71..
  • Zayonchkovskaya Zh.A. Federal districts on the Russian migration map. Region: ekonomika i sotsiologiya=Region: Economics and Sociology, 2012, no. 3, pp. 3-18..
  • Perevedentsev V.I. Migratsiya naseleniya i demograficheskoe budushchee Rossii (nauchno-analiticheskii doklad) . Institute of Comparative Politology, RAS. Moscow., 2003. 61 p.
  • Rybakovskii L.L. Problemy formirovaniya narodonaseleniya Dal'nego Vostoka . Khabarovsk: Khabarovskii KNII SO AN SSSR, 1969. 201 p.
  • Sonin M.Ya. Razvitie narodonaseleniya: Ekonomicheskii aspect . Moscow: Statistika, 1980. 351 p.
  • Topilin A. Factor of migration and demographic crisis in Russia. Economist=Economist, 2000, no. 11, pp. 67-72..
  • Ryazantsev S.V., Lukyanets A.S., Khramova M.N., Bui Tuan Quang, Huy Vu Quoc. Migration as a key component of the demographic development of the Russian Far East. Nauchnoe obozrenie. Seriya 1. ekonomika i pravo=Scientific Review. Series 1. Economics And Law, 2016, no. 3, pp. 23-32..
  • Motrich E.L. Impact of migration on the demographic situation in the Far East of Russia. In: Ryazantsev S.V., Khramova M.N., Savinkina L.A. (Ed.). Migratsionnye protsessy i ikh vliyanie na demograficheskoe i sotsial'no-ekonomicheskoe razvitie Dal'nego Vostoka: sbornik trudov 11 Mezhdunar. nauchno-praktich. konf., 4-5 iyunya 2018 g. . Vladivostok: Izdatel'stvo DVFU, 2018. 266 p.
  • Rybakovskii L.L. 20 let depopulyatsii v Rossii . Мoscow: Ekon-inform, 2014. 231 p.
  • Rybakovskii L.L. Russia's demographic future in extrapolation and normative coordinates. Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya=Sociological Studies, 2014, no. 4, pp. 21-30..
  • Minakir P.A. (Ed.). Rossiiskii Dal'nii Vostok na puti v budushchee . Economic Research Institute Far Eastern Branch of the RAS. Khabarovsk: IEI DVO RAN, 2017. 395 p.
  • Rybakovskii L.L. (Ed.). Demograficheskoe razvitie Rossii v pervoi chetverti XX1 veka: usloviya sokhraneniya ustoichivoi dinamiki . Moscow: Ekon-Inform, 2009. 40 p.
  • Shcherbakov D. Neostanovlennoe begstvo . Information and Analytical Agency "East of Russia". Available at: https://www.eastrussia.ru/material/neostanovlennoe-begstvo/
  • Ortega F., Peri G. The Causes and Effects of International Migrations: Evidence from OECD Countries 1980-2005. NBER Working Paper No. 14833. Issued in April 2009. Available at: https://doi.org/10.3386/w14833.
  • Felbermayr G.J., Hiller S., Sala D. Does immigration boost per capita income? Economics Letters, 2010, vol. 107, no. 2, pp. 177-179. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2010.01.017.
  • Thangavelu S.M. Labour market integration with the world: case of Singapore. Journal of Economic Integration, 2017, vol.32, no. 3, pp. 723-758. Available at: http://www.jstor.org/stable/44324475.
  • Aubry A., Burzyński M., Docquier F. The welfare impact of global migration in OECD countries. Journal of International Economics, 2016, vol. 101, pp. 1-21. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2016.03.005/
  • Bhavnani R.R., Lacina B. Fiscal federalism at work? Central responses to internal migration in India, World Development, 2017, vol. 93, pp. 236-248. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2016.12.018.
  • Su Y., Tesfazion P., Zhao Zh. Where are migrants from? Inter-vs. intra-provincial rural-urban migration in China. China Economic Review, 2017. Available at: DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2017.09.004/
  • Chan K.W. Migration and development in China: trends, geography and current issues. Migration and Development, 2012, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 191-200.
  • Kwon G., Spilimbergo A. Russia's Regions: Income Volatility, Labor Mobility, and Fiscal Policy. IMF Working Paper European Department and Research Department. WP/05/185. September 2005. Available at: https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2005/wp05185.pdf
  • Rybakovskii L.L. Factors and causes of migration, mechanism of their relationship. Narodonaselenie=Population, 2017, no. 2, pp. 51-61..
  • Izotov D.A. The Far East. Innovations in public policy. Problems of Economic Transition, 2017, vol. 59, no. 10, pp. 799-813.
  • Motrich E.L. Preferences should be not only for the arrived. Dal'nevostochnyi kapital=Far Eastern Capital, 2018, no. 6 (214), pp. 30-32..
  • Zubritskii A. Statistics does not give a correct idea of the outflow scale. Dal'nevostochnyi kapital=Far Eastern Capital, 2018, no. 6 (214), pp. 26-30..
  • Ivlev Ya.Ya., Galichanin E.N. Dal'nii Vostok i Zabaikal'e (istoriko-ekonomicheskii obzor) . Interregional Association of Economic Cooperation of Subjects of the Russian Federation "Far East and Zabailaye"; Amur Geographical Society. Khabarovsk, 1998, pp. 10-12.
  • Demidenko O. Ne dozhit': u dal'nevostochnikov ne ostalos' bol'she illyuzii po povodu pensii . REGNUM Information Agency, June 15, 2018. Available at: https://regnum/ru/news/polit/2431688/html (Accessed June 2, 2018).
  • Kalachikova O.N., Korolenko A.V. Regional differentiation of demographic development in Russia in the context of demographic security. Problemy razvitiya territorii=Problems of Territory's Development, 2015, no. 6, pp. 127-142..
  • Bukher S. Modern trends in population aging in the Russian Federation. Vestnik Rossiiskoi akademii nauk=Bulletin of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 2016, vol. 86, no. 3, pp. 215-223..
  • Mkrtchyan N. Dal'nevostochnaya migratsiya: kak upravlyat'? . Available at: https://www.eastrussia.ru/material/dalnevostochnaya-migratsiya-like../
  • Fauzer V.V. Demographic potential of the Russia's northern regions as a factor and condition of economic development of the Arctic. Economika regiona=Economy of the Region, 2014, no. 4 (40), pp. 69-81..
  • Fauzer V.V., Lytkina T.S., Fauzer G.N. Features of population settlement in the Arctic zone of Russia. Arktika: ekonomika i ekologiya=Arctic: Ecology and Economy, 2016, no. 2, pp. 40-50..
  • Belenets P. Demographic potential of the Far East: problems and trends. Economist=Economist, 2014, no. 11, pp. 83-90..
Еще
Статья научная
QR-код для установки приложения SciUp Наведите камеру и скачайте бесплатное приложение SciUp