The application of stochastic break-even analysis in evaluating industry operational risks

During periods of high uncertainty, there are negative processes in the economy. At the industry level, they are manifested in an increase in the dispersion of revenue-based indicators. This article attempts to apply stochastic break-even analysis that takes into account economic uncertainty on the basis of the black Scholes formula at the level of the operating cycle. As a result, the operational risks of the air transportation industry will be characterized.