The effects of Asia-Pacific countries’ trade integration in the context of globalization and regionalization
Автор: Izotov Dmitrii A.
Журнал: Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast @volnc-esc-en
Рубрика: Regional economy
Статья в выпуске: 4 т.13, 2020 года.
Бесплатный доступ
The aim of the research is to assess the trade effects of integration in the Asia-Pacific region, arising from the processes of globalization and regionalization, which is manifested in the functioning of trade agreements and their proliferation. It is shown that mutual trade barriers are reduced in the context of the formation of a sub-global network of bilateral and multilateral trade agreements as part of the regionalization process in the Asia-Pacific region. It is determined that the vast majority of free trade zones functioning in the world is concentrated in the Asia-Pacific region while the share of intraregional trade is tending to increase. The authors reveal general regularities of integration processes in the Asia-Pacific region based on the decomposition assessment of the effects of trade agreements in the framework of a synthesized modern approach to the assessment of gravitational dependencies. Integration processes in the Asia-Pacific region in the long term have been generating the effect of creating trade for the countries of the sub-global region that concluded trade agreements, and the effect of globalization contributed to an increase in the overall effect of integration. Based on the obtained estimates, it is determined that the contribution of the globalization effect to the overall effect of integration between the Asia-Pacific countries was higher than from the conclusion of trade agreements. The effects of globalization more than doubled the overall effect of integration for the Asia-Pacific countries that concluded trade agreements. It is clarified that for the Asia-Pacific countries that are carrying out the proliferation of trade agreements, the increase in the overall effect of integration was mainly due to regionalization. The obtained estimate confirmed the assumption that there is discrimination against the economies of the Asia-Pacific countries that do not expand the geography of concluded trade agreements in the region. Based on the obtained estimates, it is argued that the effective strategy for Russia is to increase the coverage of the Asia-Pacific countries to conclude trade agreements in order to diversify foreign trade and support export-oriented sectors of the economy.
Trade, integration, regionalization, globalization, trade agreement, free trade zone, customs union, overall effect of integration, effect of globalization, effect of concluding trade agreement, accumulated effect of integration, exporting country, importing country, asia-pacific region
Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/147225482
IDR: 147225482 | DOI: 10.15838/esc.2020.4.70.5
Список литературы The effects of Asia-Pacific countries’ trade integration in the context of globalization and regionalization
- Baldwin R. The world trade organization and the future of multilateralism. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2016, vol. 30, pp. 95–116. DOI: 10.1257/jep.30.1.95
- Zagashvili V. WTO crisis as manifestation of globalization crisis. Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya=World Economy and International Relations, 2019, no. 6, pp. 5–12. DOI: 10.20542/0131-2227-2019-63-6-5-12 (in Russian).
- Hummels D., Ishii J., Yi K.M. The nature and growth of vertical specialization in world trade. Journal of International Economics, 2001, vol. 54, pp. 75–96. DOI: 10.1016/S0022-1996(00)00093-3
- Lancaster K. Intra-industry trade under perfect monopolistic competition. Journal of International Economics, 1980, vol. 10, pp. 151–175. DOI: 10.1016/0022-1996(80)90052-5
- Whalley J. Why Do Countries Seek Regional Trade Agreements? NBER Working Paper 5552. April 1996. Available at: http://www.nber.org/papers/w5552.pdf (accessed: 10.04.2020).
- Afontsev S.A. Common economic space: Conditions of the integration success. In: Ekonomicheskaya svoboda i gosudarstvo: druz’ya ili vragi [Economic Freedom and the State: Friends of Foes]. Ed. by A.P. Zaostrovtsev. St. Petersburg: MTsSEI «Leont’evskii tsentr», 2012. Pp. 141–155 (in Russian).
- Dür A., Baccini L., Elsig M. The design of international trade agreements: Introducing a new dataset. The Review of International Organizations, 2014, vol. 9, pp. 353–375. DOI: 10.1007/s11558-013-9179-8
- Baldwin R. A Domino Theory of Regionalism. NBER Working Paper 4465. September 1993. Available at: http://www.nber.org/papers/w4465.pdf
- Baldwin R. Multilateralising Regionalism: Spaghetti Bowls as Building Blocs on the Path to Global Free Trade. NBER Working Paper 12545. September 2006. Available at: http://www.nber.org/papers/w12545
- Bhagwati J. Regionalism and multilateralism: An overview. In: New Dimensions in Regional Integration. Ed. By J. De Melo and A. Panagariya. Cambridge University Press, 1993, pp. 22–51. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511628511
- Bhagwati J. Termites in the Trading System: How Preferential Agreements Undermine Free Trade. New York: Oxford University Press, 2008. 139 p.
- Cipollina M., Salvatici L. Reciprocal trade agreements in gravity models: A meta-analysis. Review of International Economics, 2010, vol. 18, pp. 63–80. DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9396.2009.00877.x
- Martin P., Mayer T., Thoenig M. The geography of conflicts and regional trade agreements. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2012, vol. 4, pp. 1–35. DOI: 10.1257/mac.4.4.1
- Viner J. The Customs Union Issue. Oxford University Press, 2014. 256 p.
- Frankel J.A. Regional Trading Blocs in the World Economic System. PIIE, 1997. 388 p.
- Rose A., Lockwood B., Quah D. One money, one market: The effect of common currencies on trade. Economic Policy, 2000, vol. 15, pp. 9–45. DOI: 10.1111/1468-0327.00056
- Wei S.-J., Frankel J.A. Open versus closed trade blocs. In: Regionalism versus Multilateral Trade Arrangements. Ed. by T. Ito, A.O. Krueger. NBER-EASE, 1997, pp. 119–140. Available at: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c8598.
- Bergsten C.F., Noland M., Schott J.J. The Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific: A Constructive Approach to Multilateralizing Asian Regionalism. ADBI Working Paper 336. 2011. Available at: http://www.adbi.org/workingpaper/2011/12/22/4835.fta.asia.pacific.asian.regionalism/
- Fergusson I.F., McMinimy M.A., Williams B.R. The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP): In Brief. Congressional Research Service. February 9, 2016. Available at: https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/R44278.pdf.
- Baier S.L., Yotov Y.V., Zylkin T. On the widely differing effects of free trade agreements: Lessons from twenty years of trade integration. Journal of International Economics, 2019, vol. 116, pp. 206–226. DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2018.11.002
- Dai M., Yotov Y.V., Zylkin T. On the trade-diversion effects of free trade agreements. Economic Letters, 2014, vol. 122, pp. 321–325. DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.12.024
- Nguyen D.B. A new examination of the impacts of regional trade agreements on international trade patterns. Journal of Economic Integration, 2019, vol. 34, pp. 236–279. DOI: 10.11130/jei.2019.34.2.236
- Park I. East Asian regional trade agreements: Do they promote global free trade? Pacific Economic Review, 2006, vol. 11, pp. 547–568. DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0106.2006.00334.x
- Akamatsu K. A historical pattern of economic growth in developing countries. Journal of Developing Economies, 1962, vol. 1, pp. 3–25. DOI: 10.1111/j.1746-1049.1962.tb01020.x
- Kojima K. The “Flying geese” model of Asian economic development: Origin, theoretical extensions, and regional policy implications. Journal of Asian Economics, 2000, vol. 11, pp. 375–401. DOI: 10.1016/S1049-0078(00)00067-1
- Ando M. Fragmentation and vertical intra-industry trade in East Asia. North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2006, vol. 17, pp. 257–281. DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2006.06.005
- Fujita M., Mori T. Frontiers of the new economic geography. Papers in Regional Science, 2005, vol. 84, pp. 377–405. DOI: 10.1111/j.1435-5957.2005.00021.x
- Yamamoto K. A two-region model with two types of manufacturing technologies and agglomeration. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 2005, vol. 35, pp. 808–836. DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2004.10.001
- Thorbecke W. Enjoying the Fruits of their Labor: Redirecting exports to Asian consumers. RIETI Discussion Paper Series 15-E-016. February 2015. Available at: http://www.rieti.go.jp/jp/publications/dp/15e016.pdf.
- Baldwin R., Okubo T. Networked FDI: Sales and Sourcing Patterns of Japanese Foreign Affiliates. NBER Working Paper No. 18083. 2012. Available at: http://www.nber.org/papers/w18083.
- Feridhanusetyawan T. Preferential Trade Agreements in the Asia-Pacific Region. IMF Working Paper WP/05/149. July 2005. Available at: https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2005/wp05149.pdf.
- Pomfret R. Regional integration in East Asia. In: International Handbook on the Economics of Integration. Vol. I (General Issues and Regional Groups). Ed. by M.N. Jovanovic, E. Elgar. Cheltenham, UK; Northampton, MA, USA, Edward Elgar Publishing Limited, 2011, pp. 377–392.
- Petri P.A. Multitrack integration in East Asian trade: Noodle bowl or matrix? Asia Pacific Issues, October 2008, no. 86. Honolulu: East-West Center. Available at: http://www.eastwestcenter.org/publications/multitrackintegration-east-asian-trade-noodle-bowl-or-matrix.