The impact of R&D expenditures on high-tech product exports
Автор: Altiner Ali, Bozkurt Eda, Topcuoglu Ozlem
Журнал: Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast @volnc-esc-en
Рубрика: Science, technology and innovation development
Статья в выпуске: 5 т.15, 2022 года.
Бесплатный доступ
Increasing high-tech product exports in international markets to achieve sustainable economic growth goals is considered an important element in every country in the contemporary world, where globalization is experienced at the highest level. Although it is accepted that many factors affect high-tech product exports in the literature, it is emphasized that R&D expenditures have significant effects. In this research, the effect of R&D expenditures on high-tech product exports in 11 emerging market economies in the period of 1996-2018 was examined. In the context of explanatory variables that are thought to have an impact on high-tech product export, exchange rate, foreign demand, economic growth, and foreign direct investments were used in addition to R&D expenditures. To analyze the relationships, panel quantile regression analysis was applied. The results showed that each variable had different effects on high-tech product exports, and it was seen that R&D expenditures had a positive and very strong effect. In addition, it was determined that economic growth and foreign direct investment also had positive and significant effects on high-tech product exports. In the light of the findings, it is of great importance to allocate more share to R&D expenditures to increase high-tech product exports and benefit from international trade markets more effectively, especially in developing countries.
Economic growth, high-tech products, panel quantile regression analysis, r&d expenditures
Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/147239114
IDR: 147239114 | DOI: 10.15838/esc.2022.5.83.8
Текст научной статьи The impact of R&D expenditures on high-tech product exports
The mercantilist period, experienced since the 15th century, has been the scene of a capital accumulation race between western countries. In this process, which can also be expressed as trade capitalism, it has been accepted that wealth passes through the possession of precious metals, policies have been applied to increase exports and reduce imports. The industrial revolution that began in England with the influence of technological developments from the mid-18th century – industrial capitalism – brought about mass production and created high-level increases in the supply of manufactured goods. As in the mercantilist period, increasing exports was critical to meltdown this resulting supply surplus and prosperity. A significant level of development difference has emerged between the countries that have managed to achieve industrialization and those that have not. Countries have begun to be categorized as developed and underdeveloped countries according to the level of industrialization. Currently, developed countries are trying to achieve high economic growth rates to gain the upper hand over each other by increasing their wealth, while underdeveloped countries are trying to reach the level of developed countries. As in previous periods, export is considered the most effective tool that can be used for this purpose. Especially since the 1980s, countries have been pursuing export-based policies for sustainable growth goals.
This paper is organized as follows. Conceptual explanations are made about the issue in the next part of the study, and the theoretical literature is summarized. In the second part, the empirical literature is presented, and in the third part, a data set and an econometric method are introduced. In the fourth section, the results of the empirical analysis are reported, and in the conclusion section, the study is concluded with a general evaluation and policy recommendations. Thanks to the econometric method applied, more detailed information has been obtained about the relationship between the variables compared to other studies on this subject.
Conceptual and theoretical framework
According to the definition made by (Davis, 1982), a high-tech product is produced with a high R&D expenditure. It is also expressed as technology-intensive goods with high-income elasticity and complex production stages, which have a significant impact on the growth of a country’s economy. Therefore, high-tech production refers to the provision of efficiency and quality improvement in production. Nowadays, when export-based growth policies are implemented, fast-growing countries are trying to increase the exports of high-tech products to protect and expand their share in export markets (Mani, 2000; Q olako g lu, 2021; Sara, 2012).
(Harris, Moffat, 2011). As a general rule, the effects of R&D activities on exports are expressed in two different ways as input and output. In the input approach, the relationship between exports and factors such as R&D expenditures and research and development personnel used in the development of a new product or production technique is examined. In the output approach, the relationship between patents obtained as a result of R&D activities and exports is examined (Y i ld i r i m, Kesiko g lu, 2012).
The products of the manufacturing industry of a country are classified by the OECD into four groups according to the level of technology. Accordingly, technology density is taken into account both the level of technology-specific to the sector (ratio of R&D expenditures to value-added) and R&D expenditures on intermediate and capital goods, as well as technology distinguished as low, medium-low, medium-high, and high. In this context, high-tech products include products with high R&D intensity, such as products produced in the computer, aerospace, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, electrical machinery, electronics, and telecommunications industries or produced through scientific research (Hatzichronoglou, 1997; OECD, 2011). In the light of these explanations, it can be stated that the way to high technology in production and therefore in exports passes through R&D activities. For this reason, it can be said that the countries that allocate more share to R&D expenditures are in a better position in terms of high-tech product exports. This situation is shown in Table 1.
Список литературы The impact of R&D expenditures on high-tech product exports
- Aghion P., Howitt P. (1992). A model of growth through creative destruction. NBER Working Paper Series, 3223, 1–48. Available at: https://doi.org/10.3386/w3223
- Aghion P., Garcia-Penalosa C., Howitt P. (2000). “Knowledge and Development: A Schumpeterian Approach,” Paper presented at the World Bank ABCDE Conference, June 2000.
- Akay Ö. (2021). Yüksek teknoloji ihracatında Türkiye’nin yeri ve belirleyicileri. Düzce Üniversitesi Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi, 9(4), 1128–1141. Available at: https://doi.org/10.29130/dubited.861464
- Aktaş N., Gür B. (2021). E7 ve G7 ülkelerinin yüksek teknolojili ürün ihracatını belirleyen faktörler: panel eşbütünleşme analizi. International Journal of Applied Economic and Finance Studies, 6(2), 72–88. Available at: http://www.ijaefs.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/05_AKTAS-GUR.pdf (accessed: January 7, 2022).
- Alemu A.M. (2012). The effect of R&D on high-tech product export competitiveness: Empirical evidence from panel data of East Asian economies. STI Policy Review, 3(1), 46–62. Available at: https://doi.org/10.22675/STIPR.2012.3.1.046.
- Aw B.Y., Roberts M.J., Xu D.Y. (2009) R&D investment, exporting, and productivity dynamics. NBER Working Paper Series, 14670. Available at: https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w14670/w14670.pdf (accessed: 1 March 2022).
- Bojnec Š., Fertő I. (2011). Impacts of research and development on manufacturing trade. Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci: časopis za ekonomsku teoriju i praksu, 29(1), 65–88. Available at: https://hrcak.srce.hr/69468 (accessed: December 25, 2021).
- Boz F.Ç., Gültekin Ö.F. (2019). BRICS ve MIST Ülkelerinde Ar-Ge Harcamaları İle Yüksek Teknolojili Ürün İhracatı Arasındaki İlişki Üzerine Bir Araştırma. Itobiad: Journal of the Human & Social Science Researches, 8(2), 1111–1124. Available at: http://www.itobiad.com/issue/44987/533402, (accessed: January 6, 2022).
- Braunerhjelm P., Thulin P. (2008). Can countries create comparative advantages? R&D expenditures, high-tech exports and country size in 19 OECD countries, 1981–1999. International Economic Journal, 22(1), 95–111. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1080/10168730801887026
- Breusch T.S., Pagan A.R. (1980). The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239–253. Available at: https://doi.org/10.2307/2297111
- Çolakoğlu M. (2021). OECD Ülkelerinde Beşeri Sermayenin Yüksek Teknolojili Ürün İhracatı ve Ekonomik Kompleksite Endeksi Üzerindeki Etkisi. Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Denizli (диссертация).
- Davis L.A. (1982). Technology intensity of US output and trade. U.S Department of Commerce, International Trade Administration.
- Durmuş S.M. (2020). Ar-ge ve inovasyonun yüksek teknoloji ürün ihracatı üzerindeki etkisi: Yükselen piyasa ekonomileri örneği. Gümüşhane Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü İktisat Anabilim Dalı Yüksek Lisans Programı, Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Gümüşhane. (диссертация)
- Fagerberg J. Is there a large-country advantage in high-tech? Available at: https://www.sv.uio.no/tik/InnoWP/archive/wpno526-1995.pdf (accessed: January 24, 2022).
- Gaberli Ü. (2018). G7 ülkelerinde fikri mülkiyet haklarına yapılan ödemeler ve ar-ge harcamalarının yüksek teknoloji ihracatına etkisi: Bir panel veri analizi. Finans Politik ve Ekonomik Yorumlar, (641), 667–682 Available at: https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/fpeyd/issue/47981/607037 (accessed: January 6, 2022).
- Gourlay A., Seaton J., Suppakitjarak J. (2005). The determinants of export behaviour in UK service firms. The Service Industries Journal, 25(7), 879–889. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1080/02642060500134154
- Göçer İ. (2013). Ar-Ge harcamalarının yüksek teknolojili ürün ihracatı, dış ticaret dengesi ve ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkileri. Maliye Dergisi, 165(2), 215–240. Available at: https://www.acarindex.com/pdfler/3a556386-9a95.pdf (accessed: December 27, 2021).
- Griffith R., Redding S., Reenen J.V. (2004). Mapping the two faces of R&D: Productivity growth in a panel of OECD industries. Review of Economics and Statistics, 86(4), 883–895. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1162/0034653043125194
- Grossman G.M., Helpman E. (1989). Product development and international trade. Journal of Political Economy, 97(6), 1261–1283. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1086/261653
- Grossman G.M., Helpman E. (1991). Quality ladders in the theory of growth. The review of Economic Studies, 58(1), 43–61. Available at: https://doi.org/10.2307/2298044
- Gruber W., Mehta D., Vernon R. (1967). The R&D factor in international trade and international investment of United States industries. Journal of Political Economy, 75(1), 20–37. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1086/259235
- Harris R., Moffat J. R&D, innovation and exporting. Available at: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/33593/1/sercdp0073.pdf (accessed: February 15, 2022).
- Hatzichronoglou T. Revision of the high-technology sector and product classification. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1787/050148678127
- Ismail N.W. (2013). Innovation and high-tech trade in Asian countries. In: Proceedings from International Conference on Recent Developments in Asian Trade Policy and Integration. Available at: https://www.nottingham.ac.uk/gep/documents/conferences/2013/malaysia-conference/normaz-wana-ismail.pdf (accessed: January 14, 2022).
- Jones C.I., Ateş S., Tuncer İ. (2001). İktisadi büyümeye giriş. Literatür Yayıncılık. Birinci Basım, İstanbul.
- Karasaç F., Sağın A. (2018). Kamu ve özel kesim Ar-Ge harcamalarının yüksek teknolojili malların ihracatına etkisi: Avrupa ekonomileri analizi. The Journal of European Theoretical and Applied Studies, 6(1), 11–23. Available at: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11857/1129 (accessed: January 5, 2022).
- Kılıç C., Bayar Y., Özekicioğlu H. (2014). Araştirma geliştirme harcamalarinin yüksek teknoloji ürün ihracati üzerindeki etkisi: G–8 ülkeleri için bir panel veri analizi. Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, (44), 115–130. Available at: https://doi.org/10.18070/euiibfd.62317
- Koenker R., Basset Jr. G.S. (1978). Regression quantiles. Econometrica, 46, 33–50. Available at: https://doi.org/10.2307/1913643
- Landesmann M., Pfaffermayr M. (1997). Technological competition and trade performance. Applied Economics, 29(2), 179–196. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1080/000368497327254
- Le C.D. (1987). The role of R&D in high-technology trade: An empirical analysis. Atlantic Economic Journal, 15(4), 32–38. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02304202
- Mani S. (2000). Exports of High Technology Products from Developing Countries: Is It Real or a Statistical Artifact? New York: United Nations University, Institute for New Technologies.
- ISIC Rev. 3 Technology Intensıty Defınıtıon – Classification of manufacturing industries into categories based on R&D intensities. July 2011. Available at: https://www.oecd.org/sti/ind/48350231.pdf (accessed: January 1, 2022).
- Oğuz S., Sökmen A.G. (2020). Araştırma geliştirme harcamalarının yüksek teknolojili ürün ihracatına etkisi: OECD ülkeleri üzerine bir panel veri analizi. International Journal of Economic & Administrative Studies, 27, 209–222. Available at: https://doi.org/10.18092/ulikidince.651992
- Özer M., Çiftçi N. (2009). Ar-Ge harcamaları ve ihracat ilişkisi: OECD ülkeleri panel veri analizi. Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 23(3), 39–50. Available at: https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/dpusbe/issue/4765/65481 (accessed: December 5, 2021).
- Özkan G., Yılmaz H. (2017). Ar-ge harcamalarının yüksek teknoloji ürün ihracatı ve kişi başı gelir üzerindeki etkileri: 12 AB ülkesi ve Türkiye için uygulama (1996–2015). Bilgi Ekonomisi ve Yönetimi Dergisi, 12(1), 1–12. Available at: https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/beyder/issue/31845/318349, (accessed: January 25, 2022).
- Pesaran M.H. (2004). General diagnostic test for cross section dependence in panels. Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, (0435), 1–39, Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-020-01875-7
- Pesaran M.H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross‐section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2), 265–312. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.951
- Pesaran M.H., Ullah A., Yamagata T. (2008). A bias‐adjusted LM test of error cross‐section independence. The Econometrics Journal, 11(1), 105–127. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1368-423X.2007.00227.x
- Romer P.M. (1986). Increasing returns and long-run growth. Journal of Political Economy, 94(5), 1002–1037. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1086/261420
- Salari T.E., Roumiani A., Kazemzadeh E. (2021). Globalization, renewable energy consumption, and agricultural production impacts on ecological footprint in emerging countries: Using quantile regression approach. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(36), 49627–49641. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-14204-x
- Sandu S., Ciocanel B. (2014). Impact of R&D and innovation on high-tech export. Procedia Economics and Finance, 15, 80–90. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2212-5671(14)00450-X
- Sara T.S., Jackson F.H., Upchurch L. T. (2012). Role of innovation in hi-tech-exports of a nation. International Journal of Business and Management, 7(7), 85–93. Available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/ijbm.v7n7p85
- Schumpeter J. (1942). Capitalism, socialism and democracy. Social Science Electronic Publishing, 27(4), 594–602.
- Sey N., Aydın B. (2021). Türkiye’de Yüksek Teknoloji Ürün İhracatı ve İnovasyon İlişkisi Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir İnceleme. Ordu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Sosyal Bilimler Araştırmaları Dergisi, 11(1), 238–252. Available at: https://doi.org/10.48146/odusobiad.785193
- Seyoum B. (2004). The role of factor conditions in high-technology exports: An empirical examination. The Journal of High Technology Management Research, 15(1), 145–162. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hitech.2003.09.007
- Srholec M. (2007). High-tech exports from developing countries: A symptom of technology spurts or statistical illusion? Review of World Economics, 143(2), 227–255. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10290-007-0106-z
- Şahbaz A., Yanar R., Adıgüzel U. (2014). Ar-Ge harcamaları ve ileri teknoloji mal ihracatı ilişkisi: panel nedensellik analizi. Çukurova Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 23(1), 47–60. Available at: https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/cusosbil/issue/32277/353193 (accessed: January 11, 2022).
- Taban S., Şengür M. (2014). Türkiye’de ar-ge ve ekonomik büyüme. Abant İzzet Baysal Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 14(1), 355–376. Available at: https://app.trdizin.gov.tr/publication/paper/detail/TWpNMU5URTFOUT09 (accessed: February 2, 2022).
- Uzay N., Demir M., Yıldırım E. (2012). İhracat performansı açısından teknolojik yeniliğin önemi: Türkiye imalat sanayi örneği. Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi, 13(1), 147–160. Available at: https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/doujournal/issue/66666/1043058 (accessed: December 13, 2021).
- Westerlund J. (2008). Panel cointegration tests of the Fisher effect. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 23(2), 193–233. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.967
- Xu B., Lin B. (2018). What cause large regional differences in PM2. 5 pollutions in China? Evidence from quantile regression model. Journal of Cleaner Production, 174, 447–461. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.11.008
- Yaman H., Çetin D., Dulupçu M.A. (2020). OECD ülkelerinde ar-ge harcamaları ve ileri teknoloji ihracatı: bir panel veri analizi. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 20(3), 193–208. Available at: https://doi.org/10.18037/ausbd.801751
- Yavuz G., Uysal Ö. (2020). Yüksek teknolojili ürün ihracatını etkileyen faktörlerin analizi: OECD örneği. Uluslararası Ekonomi İşletme ve Politika Dergisi, 4(1), 205–220. Available at: https://doi.org/10.29216/ueip.673698
- Yıldırım E., Kesikoğlu F. (2012). Ar-Ge harcamaları ile ihracat arasındaki nedensellik ilişkileri: Türkiye örneğinde panel nedensellik testi kanıtları. İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 32(1), 165–180. Available at: https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/muiibd/issue/495/4472 (accessed: January 10, 2022).