The probability of failure of the heating control unit during the flight and its consequences

The article presents the results of predicting the probability of failure of the heating control unit during flight on the basis of mathematical modeling of multistage processes of performing operations in stochastic productive systems. The problem statement is formed as follows: to determine the probability of failure of the heating control unit during the flight and its possible consequences. The structural and functional diagram of the heating control unit using a strict formal mathematical description based on equations describing the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process was considered as an initial object for determining the probability of failure.