Analysis of social indicators of the “Strategy for social and economic development of the Crimean Republic until 2030”

In the article social aspects of regional strategic planning are considered on the example of “Strategy of Socio-Economic Development of the Republic of Crimea until 2030”. The inconsistency in determining the strategic goal, as well as the shortcomings in the proposed scenarios, is revealed. A comparative analysis of the social development of the Republic of Crimea as a subject of the Russian Federation and the Southern Federal District is given. The dynamics of sociodemographic indicators in 2015-2017 is estimated and prospects of achievement of planned indicators for 2020 are determined. Of the ten indicators, four (total natural increase/loss ratio of population, birth rate, mortality and life expectancy) show a clear negative trend, and in 2020 may be worse than in 2015. The population of the Republic of Crimea and the GRP per capita will not reach the levels planned for 2020, and in the next few years there will remain a significant gap in this most important indicator from the all-Russian and the middle level in the Southern Federal District...