Assessment of the Socio-Economic Situation in the Arctic Municipal Districts of the Arkhangelsk Oblast Based on the Target Model

Автор: Tutygin A.G., Chizhova L.A., Lovdin E.N.

Журнал: Arctic and North @arctic-and-north

Рубрика: Northern and arctic societies

Статья в выпуске: 46, 2022 года.

Бесплатный доступ

The relevance of this study is due to the need to develop a fairly understandable and in some sense universal tool for assessing the socio-economic situation in municipalities (districts and settlements) with pronounced territorial specifics, with clearly insufficient statistical and information support. The authors, with references to the results of their own research and to the work of their colleagues, present a detailed analysis of the key problems characteristic of the territories of the Russian Arctic, compare them with a set of main external factors of influence in relation to municipalities. Using the SEER expert procedure scheme and the hierarchy analysis method, according to the two-level model proposed by the authors, complex point estimates of the socio-economic situation in the Arctic settlements and municipal districts of the Arkhangelsk Oblast are calculated. The paper notes that the factors that are directly related to transport accessibility have the greatest impact on the development targets of Arctic municipalities. Therefore, the transport and logistics component should be fundamental in all strategic, program and planning documents aimed at achieving the goals of socio-economic development of the Arctic municipalities — districts and settlements. The obtained estimates are proposed to be used in the development of management decisions that could become the basis of a comprehensive interdepartmental inter-municipal program for the socio-economic development of Arctic municipalities.

Еще

Arctic zone of the Russian Federation, municipality, district and settlement, socio-economic situation, expert assessment, target model, management decision-making

Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/148323971

IDR: 148323971   |   DOI: 10.37482/issn2221-2698.2022.46.170

Список литературы Assessment of the Socio-Economic Situation in the Arctic Municipal Districts of the Arkhangelsk Oblast Based on the Target Model

  • Baeva V.V., Novikov A.I. Teoretiko-metodologicheskie aspekty prognozirovaniya sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya munitsipal'nykh obrazovaniy [Theoretical and Methodological Aspects of Forecasting the Socio-Economic Development of Municipalities]. Vestnik nauki, 2019, vol. 3, no. 1 (10), pp. 33–35.
  • Fishman L.I., Ivanov M.Yu. Strategii sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya munitsipal'nykh obrazovaniy: opyt analiza [Strategy of Social and Economic Development of Municipal Units: Experience of the Analy-sis]. Intellekt. Innovatsii. Investitsii [Intellect. Innovations. Investments], 2018, no. 9, pp. 71–78.
  • Stepanova V.V., Sivobrova I.A., Nikolaev A.V. Metodicheskie podkhody k otsenke effektivnosti sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya munitsipal'nykh obrazovaniy [Methodological Approaches to Assessing the Effectiveness of Socio-Economic Development of Municipalities]. Regional'naya ekonomika: teoriya i praktika [Regional Economics: Theory and Practice], 2012, no. 47, pp. 2–12.
  • Oreshnikov V.V., Aitova Yu.S. Primenenie metodov ekonomiko-matematicheskogo modelirovaniya pri razrabotke strategii razvitiya munitsipal'nogo obrazovaniya [Application of Economic and Mathematical Modeling Methods When Elaborating a Municipality Development Strategy]. Voprosy territorial'nogo razvitiya [Territorial Development Issues], 2019, no. 3 (48), pp. 1–13. DOI: 10.15838/tdi.2019.3.48.3
  • Novoselov A.S., Kovalev A.E., Gayduk E.A. Sovershenstvovanie munitsipal'nogo upravleniya na osnove modelirovaniya sotsial'no-ekonomicheskikh protsessov [Improving Municipal Management Based on Socio-Economic Modeling]. Region: ekonomika i sotsiologiya, 2021, no. 2 (210), pp. 236–266. DOI: 10.15372/REG20210210
  • Fattakhov R.V., Oreshnikov V.V. Prognozirovanie razvitiya sotsial'no-ekonomicheskikh sistem munitsi-pal'nogo urovnya s primeneniem model'nogo instrumentariya (na primere g. Ufy) [Forecasting the De-velopment of Socio-Economic Systems at the Municipal Level Using Modeling Tools (the Ufa City Case Study)]. Regional'naya ekonomika: teoriya i praktika [Regional Economics: Theory and Practice], 2015. № 13 (388). С. 2–15.
  • Nizamutdinov M.M., Oreshnikov V.V. Metodicheskie i prakticheskie aspekty zadachi modelirovaniya i stsenarnogo prognozirovaniya razvitiya territorial'noy sistemy munitsipal'nogo urovnya [Modeling and Scenario Forecasting of Territorial System Development at the Municipal Level: Methodological and Practical Considerations]. Ekonomicheskiy analiz: teoriya i praktika [Economic Analysis: Theory and Prac-tice], 2017, vol. 16, no. 7, pp. 1204–1216. DOI: 10.24891/ea.16.7.1204
  • Chekmareva E.A. Agent-orientirovannye modeli v munitsipal'nom upravlenii [Agent-Based Models in Municipal Administration]. Problemy razvitiya territorii [Problems of Territory's Development], 2017, no. 6 (92), pp. 121–135.
  • Grushin V.A., Baryshova Yu.N. Protsess formirovaniya, realizatsii i spetsifika razrabotki upravlencheskikh resheniy v sisteme gosudarstvennogo i munitsipal'nogo upravleniya [The Process of Creation, Imple-mentation and Specifics of Development of Management Decisions in the System of State and Munici-pal Management]. Vestnik Moskovskoy mezhdunarodnoy akademii [Bulletin of the Moscow Interna-tional Academy], 2019, no. 1, pp. 66–73.
  • Tebekin A.V., Tebekin P.A. Metody prinyatiya upravlencheskikh resheniy v sisteme gosudarstvennogo i munitsipal'nogo upravleniya [Methods of Making Managerial Decisions in the System of State and Mu-nicipal Administration]. Transportnoe delo Rossii [Transport Business of Russia], 2020, no. 2, pp. 107–111.
  • Tutygin A.G., Chizhova L.A. Metodologicheskiy podkhod k formirovaniyu investitsionnykh stsenariev razvitiya ekonomicheskikh sistem [Methodological Approach to Formation of Investment Scenarios of Development of Economic Systems]. Ekonomika i predprinimatel'stvo [Journal of Economy and entre-preneurship], 2015, no. 10–2 (63), pp. 66–69.
  • Emelyanova E.E. Problemy i prioritety razvitiya munitsipalitetov rossiyskoy Arktiki v usloviyakh krizisa [Development Issues and Priorities of Municipalities in the Russian Arctic during the Crisis]. Natsion-al'nye interesy: prioritety i bezopasnost' [National Interests: Priorities and Security], 2018, vol. 14, no. 10, pp. 1830–1844. DOI: 10.24891/ ni.14.10.1830
  • Rzhanitsina L.S., Kravchenko E.V. Rynok truda v Arkticheskoy zone Rossiyskoy Federatsii [Labor Market in the Arctic Zone of Russian Federation]. Arktika 2035: aktual'nye voprosy, problemy, resheniya [Arctic 2035: Pressing Issues, Problems, Solutions], 2021, no. 1, pp. 74–78. DOI: 10.51823/74670_2021_1_74
  • Ukhanova A.V., Shelomentsev A.G., Smirennikova E.V., Voronina L.V. Otsenka demograficheskoy situ-atsii i ekonomicheskogo sostoyaniya v munitsipal'nykh obrazovaniyakh Arkticheskoy zony Rossiyskoy Federatsii [Assessment of the Demographic Situation and Economic Condition in Municipalities of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation]. Fundamental'nye issledovaniya [Fundamental Research], 2019, no. 11, pp. 184–190. DOI: 10.17513/fr.42609
  • Tutygin A.G., Chizhova L.A. Individual'nye i obshchesistemnye problemy regionov Arkticheskoy zony Rossiyskoy Federatsii: vozmozhnosti sovmestnogo resheniya [Individual and Systemic Problems of the Arctic Zone Regions of Russia: The Possibility of a Coordinated Solution]. Nauchnoe obozrenie [Scientific Review], 2016, no. 24, pp. 193–197.
  • Krapivin D.S. Osnovnye faktory i ugrozy, vliyayushchie na ustoychivoe sotsial'no-ekonomicheskoe razvi-tie pribrezhnykh regionov Arkticheskoy zony Rossiyskoy Federatsii [Main Factors and Threats Affecting the Sustainable Socio-Economic Development of the Coastal Regions of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation]. Fundamental'nye issledovaniya [Fundamental Research], 2020, no. 6, pp. 75–79. DOI: 10.17513/fr.42781
  • Smirennikova E.V., Voronina L.V., Ukhanova A.V. Otsenka demograficheskogo potentsiala arkticheskikh regionov Rossiyskoy Federatsii v kontekste innovatsionnogo razvitiya [Assessment of the Demographic Potential of the Arctic Regions of the Russian Federation in the Context of Innovative Development]. Arktika: ekologiya i ekonomika [Arctic: Ecology and Economy], 2021, vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 19–29. DOI: 10.25283/2223-4594-2021-1-19-29
  • Korobov V.B., Serbin Yu.V., Tutygin A.G., Chizhova L.A., Antipov E.O. Problemy energeticheskogo obespecheniya transportnoy infrastruktury pribrezhnykh i ostrovnykh territoriy Arkticheskoy zony Ros-siyskoy Federatsii [Problems of Transport Infrastructure's Energy Supply for Coastal and Island Territo-ries of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation]. Regional'naya ekonomika i upravlenie: elektronnyy nauchnyy zhurnal [Regional Economy and Management: Electronic Scientific Journal], 2019, no. 1 (57), pp. 1–10.
  • Kutsenko S.Yu., Pavlenko V.I., Plate’ A.N., Leksin A.B. Osobennosti sostoyaniya zhilishchno-bytovykh usloviy naseleniya Arkticheskoy zony Rossiyskoy Federatsii kak odnogo iz vazhneyshikh faktorov ustoychivogo razvitiya makroregiona [Features of Housing and Living Conditions of the Population of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation As One of the Most Important Factors of Sustainable Develop-ment]. Vestnik evraziyskoy nauki [The Eurasian Scientific Journal], 2020, vol. 12, no. 1.
  • Tutygin A.G., Antipov E.O., Korobov V.B. Problemy modelirovaniya logisticheskikh operatsiy v Arktich-eskoy zone Rossiyskoy Federatsii: monografiya [Problems of Modeling Logistics Operations in the Arctic Zone of Russian Federation]. Arkhangelsk, KIRA Publ., 2020, 244 p. (In Russ.)
  • Gubina O.V., Provorova A.A. Reproduktivnye ustanovki naseleniya kak uslovie obespecheniya zase-lennosti arkticheskogo regiona [Reproductive Attitudes of the Population as a Condition for Ensuring the Population of the Arctic Region]. Problemy obespecheniya ekologicheskoy bezopasnosti i ustoychivoe razvitie arkticheskikh territoriy: sbornik materialov Vserossiyskoy konferentsii s mezhdunarodnym uchas-tiem II Yudakhinskie chteniya [Problems of Ensuring Environmental Safety and Sustainable Development of the Arctic Territories: Proc. All-Russ. Conf. with Intern. Participation II Yudakhin Readings], 2019, pp. 537–542.
  • Tortsev A.M., Studenov I.I., Semushin A.V. Ispol'zovanie korennymi malochislennymi narodami rybnykh resursov Nenetskogo avtonomnogo okruga [Use of Fish Resources by Indigenous Peoples of the Nenets Autonomous Area]. Arktika: ekologiya i ekonomika [Arctic: Ecology and Economy], 2021, vol. 11, no. 2, pp. 266–276. DOI: 10.25283/2223-4594-2021-2-266-276.
  • Pavlenko V.I., Petrov A., Kutsenko S.Yu., Detter G.F. Korennye malochislennye narody rossiyskoy Arktiki (problemy i perspektivy razvitiya) [Indigenous Peoples of the Russian Arctic (Problems and Development Prospects)]. Ekologiya cheloveka [Human Ecology], 2019, no. 1, pp. 26–33.
  • Matvienko I.I., Chizhovа L.A., ed. Finansy i mezhbyudzhetnye otnosheniya Arkhangel'skoy oblasti [Fi-nance and Interbudgetary Relations of the Arkhangelsk Region]. Arkhangelsk, Izdatel'skiy tsentr Publ., 2013, 234 p. (In Russ.)
  • Matvienko I.I., Chizhova L.A., Tutygin A.G. Sovershenstvovanie mekhanizma mezhbyudzhetnykh otnosheniy v subyekte Rossiyskoy Federatsii dlya povysheniya effektivnosti ispolneniya polnomochiy na territorii munitsipal'nykh obrazovaniy [Improving the Mechanism of Interbudgetary Relations in the Subject of the Russian Federation to Improve the Efficiency of the Execution of Powers on the Territory of Municipalities]. Finansovaya analitika: problemy i resheniya [Financial Analytics: Science and Experi-ence], 2011, no. 45 (87), pp. 39–45.
  • Zakharchuk E.A. Vliyanie promyshlennogo osvoeniya arkticheskikh territoriy na finansovoe razvitie mu-nitsipal'nykh obrazovaniy [Impact of Industrial Development of the Arctic Territories on the Financial Development of Municipalities]. Regional'naya ekonomika i upravlenie: elektronnyy nauchnyy zhurnal [Regional Economy and Management: Electronic Scientific Journal], 2021, no. 1 (65), 6501. DOI: 10.24412/1999-2645-2021-165-1
  • Chizhova L.A., Laskin A.A., Lets O.V. Individual'naya predprinimatel'skaya aktivnost' kak indikator region-al'noy ekonomicheskoy politiki [Individual Entrepreneurial Activity as an Indicator of Regional Economic Policy]. Fundamental'nye issledovaniya [Fundamental Research], 2021, no. 4, pp. 102–110. DOI: 10.17513/fr.43008
  • Tutygin A.G., Chizhova L.A., Matvienko I.I. Analiz investitsionnoy privlekatel'nosti munitsipal'nykh obra-zovaniy Arkhangel'skoy oblasti [Investment Analysis for Municipalities in Russia's Arkhangel'sk Region]. Ekonomika i upravlenie [Economics and Management], 2012, no. 10 (84), pp. 40–48.
  • Lovdin E.N., Regeta A.I. Razrabotka dvukhurovnevoy modeli dlya kompleksnoy sotsial'no-ekonomicheskoy otsenki na primere arkticheskikh munitsipalitetov Arkhangel'skoy oblasti [Develop-ment of a Two-Level Model for a Comprehensive Socio-Economic Assessment on the Example of the Arctic Municipalities of the Arkhangelsk Region]. Upravlencheskiy uchet [Management Accounting], 2021, no. 7–2, pp. 445–452.
  • Kotova E.I., Korobov V.B., Pavlenko V.I. Ekstremal'nye zagryazneniya na territorii Arkticheskoy zony Ros-siyskoy Federatsii: sluchai i analiz [Extreme Pollution in the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation: Cases and Analysis]. Problemy regional'noy ekologii [Regional Environmental Issues], 2018, no. 1, pp. 67–72.
  • Ostreykovskiy V.A. Teoriya system [Theory of Systems]. Moscow, Vysshaya shkola Publ., 1997, 239 p. (In Russ.)
  • Korobov V.B., Tutygin A.G., eds. Klassifikatsionnye metody resheniya ekologo-ekonomicheskikh zadach: monografiya [Classification Methods for Solving Ecological and Economic Problems]. Arkhangelsk, Po-mor University Publ., 2010, 309 p. (In Russ.)
  • Lovdin E.N., Lets O.V. Osobennosti sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya arkticheskikh munitsipalitetov Arkhangel'skoy oblasti [Features of Socio-Economic Development of the Arctic Municipalities of the Ar-khangelsk Region]. Fundamental'nye issledovaniya [Fundamental Research], 2021, no. 5, pp. 36–45. DOI: 10.17513/fr.43036
  • Saati T.L. Prinyatie resheniy: Metod analiza ierarkhiy [Decision Making: Hierarchy Analysis Method]. Moscow, Radio i svyaz' Publ., 1993, 314 p. (In Russ.)
  • Korobov V.B., Tutygin A.G., Klepikovskaya E.V. Issledovanie minimal'nogo chisla ekspertov dlya polu-cheniya ustoychivykh otsenok vliyayushchikh faktorov v zadachakh prirodopol'zovaniya [Research in Minimal Number of Experts for Becoming Stable Estimates of Influencing Factors in Problems of Nature Use]. Problemy regional'noy ekologii [Regional Environmental Issues], 2010, no. 4, pp. 51–55.
  • Tutygin A.G., Korobov V.B., Men'shikova T.V. Kombinirovannyy sposob rascheta vesovykh koeffitsientov v mnogofaktornykh ekonomicheskikh modelyakh [Combined Method for Calculating Weighing Coeffi-cients in Multi-Factor Economic Models]. Vestnik grazhdanskikh inzhenerov [Bulletin of Civil Engineers], 2020, no. 3(80), pp. 221–228. DOI: 10.23968/1999-5571-2020-17-3-221-228
  • Blynskaya T.A., Malinina K.O. Analiz motivatsii pokoleniya Z k osoznannomu vyboru zhiznennoy strategii (na primere g. Arkhangel'ska) [Analysis of Motivation of Generation Z to Make Conscious Choice of Life Strategy (Example of Arkhangelsk)]. Alma Mater (Vestnik Vysshey Shkoly), 2020, no. 10, pp. 28–34. DOI: 10.20339/AM.10-20.028
  • Tutygin A.G., Ambrosevich M.A. Funktsional'noe raspredelenie resursov v organizatsionnykh sistemakh [Functional Distribution of Resources in Organizational Systems]. Ekonomika i upravlenie [Economics and Management], 2007, no. 9 (special issue), pp. 105–107.
  • Tutygin A.G., Chizhova L.A., Korobov V.B. Neopredelennost' v otsenkakh vliyayushchikh faktorov razlich-nymi kategoriyami lits, prinimayushchikh resheniya [Uncertainty in Assessments of Influencing Factors by Various Categories of Decision Makers]. Ekonomika i upravlenie: nauchno-prakticheskiy zhurnal [Eco-nomics and Management: Research and Practice Journal], 2020, no. 2(152), pp. 84–89. DOI: 10.34773/EU.2020.2.18
Еще
Статья научная