Geopolitical risks of hydrocarbon development in the Russian Arctic

Автор: Olga P. Trubitsina, Vladimir N. Bashkin

Журнал: Arctic and North @arctic-and-north

Рубрика: Political processes and institutions

Статья в выпуске: 43, 2021 года.

Бесплатный доступ

The article is devoted to the issues of geopolitical risks (GPR) in the hydrocarbon development of the Russian Arctic. The authors pay special attention to the analysis of modern geopolitical and geostrategic challenges of the Arctic region development. The article identifies the key geopolitical factors that affect the sustainable development of the Arctic and analyzes the similarities and differences in the geostrategic positions of the Arctic Five. One of the most important factors of the XXI century that determines the alignment and interaction of various geopolitical forces is the struggle for resources. In this regard, an increase in GPR in the Arctic, related to its resource potential, is inevitable. For oil and gas industry facilities, GPR can be transformed into opposite environmental factors in the form of additional opportunities or threats, which the authors identify in detail for each type of risk. The authors focus on such positions of the GPR, which are related to ensuring access and obtaining control rights over the Arctic's hydrocarbon resources from different countries, the uncertainty of the legal status of the Arctic region, and the use of geoecological risks (GER) as manipulative priorities of attention to Russia's actions in the Arctic.

Еще

Geopolitical risk, geopolitics, geopolitical factor, oil and gas industry, Arctic

Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/148318431

IDR: 148318431   |   DOI: 10.37482/issn2221-2698.2021.43.109

Список литературы Geopolitical risks of hydrocarbon development in the Russian Arctic

  • Nurishev G.N. Arkticheskie vyzovy rossiyskoy geopolitiki [Arctic Responses of Russian Geopolitics]. Geo-politika i bezopasnost' [Geopolitics and Security], 2012, no. 2(18), pp. 83–89.
  • Trubitsina O.P., Bashkin V.N. Geoekologiya i geopolitika v Arktike: ekologicheskie i politicheskie riski [Geoecology and Geopolitics in the Arctic: Environmental and Political Risks]. Problemy analiza riska [Issues of Risk Analysis], 2017, vol. 14, no. 2, pp. 52–62.
  • Trubitsina O.P., Bashkin V.N. Geoecology and geopolitic in the Arctic region: ecological and political risks and challenges. Ecological and Biogeochemical Cycling in Impacted Polar Ecosystems, 2017, pp. 217–235.
  • Baklanov P.Ya., Moshkov A.V., Romanov M.T. Geograficheskie i geopoliticheskie faktory i napravleniya dolgosrochnogo razvitiya Arkticheskoy zony Rossii [Geographical and Geopolitical Factors and Direc-tions of the Long-Term Development of the Arctic Zone of Russia]. Vestnik DVO RAN [Vestnik of the Far East Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences], 2015, no. 2, pp. 5–15.
  • Grinko A.A., Goncharov I.V., Shakhova N.E., Gustafsson O., Oblasov N.V., Romankevich E.A., Zarubin A.G., Kashapov R.S., Chernykh D.V., Gershelis E.V., Dudarev O.V., Mazurov A.K., Semiletov I.P. Kharak-ternye osobennosti molekulyarnogo sostava organicheskogo veshchestva osadkov morya Laptevykh v rayonakh anomal'nogo vybrosa metana [Sediment Organic Matter in Areas of Intense Methane Re-lease in the Laptev Sea: Characteristics of Molecular Composition]. Geologiya i geofizika [Russian Ge-ology and Geophysics], 2020, vol. 61, no. 4, pp. 560–585.
  • Gershelis E.V., Kashapov R.S., Ruban A.S., Oberemok I.A., Leonov A.A., Chernykh D.V., Dudarev O.V., Semiletov I.P. Issledovanie sostava organicheskogo veshchestva donnykh osadkov morya Laptevykh s primeneniem metoda rock-eval [Identifying Sources of Organic Carbon in Surface Sediments of Laptev Sea Shelf Using a Rock-Eval Approach]. Izvestiya Tomskogo politekhnicheskogo universiteta. Inzhiniring georesursov [Bulletin of the Tomsk Polytechnic University. Geo Assets Engineering], 2020, vol. 331, no. 8, pp. 189–198.
  • Lukin Yu.F. Solovetskiy forum-2011 [Solovetsky Forum-2011]. Arktika i Sever [Arctic and North], 2011, no. 3, pp. 7–14.
  • Yashalova N.N., Ruban D.Ya. Osobaya znachimost' ekologicheskogo faktora dlya ustoychivogo razvitiya natsional'noy ekonomiki: kontseptual'nyy analiz [The Special Significance of the Environmental Factor for the Sustainable Development of the National Economy: a Conceptual Analysis]. Strategiya razviti-ya ekonomiki [Economy Development Strategy], 2014, no. 14 (251), pp. 20–30.
  • Bobylev N.G., Gadal S., Konovalova M.O., Sergunin A.A., Tronin A.A., Tyunkyunen V.P. Ranzhirovanie re-gionov Arkticheskoy zony Rossiyskoy Federatsii po indeksu ekologicheskoy bezopasnosti [Regional Ranking of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation on the Basis of the Environmental Security In-dex]. Sever i rynok: formirovanie ekonomicheskogo poryadka, 2020, no. 3, pp. 17–40.
  • Smirnov A.I. Arktika: setevaya diplomatiya 2.0 v diskurse global'noy bezopasnosti [The Arctic: Network Diplomacy 2.0 in the Global Security Discourse]. Arkhangelsk, SAFU Publ., 2016, 157 p. (In Russ.)
  • Trubitsina O.P., Bashkin V.N. Ekologicheskiy reyting kak stimul snizheniya geoekologicheskogo riska deyatel'nosti rossiyskikh neftegazovykh kompaniy v Arktike [Environmental Rating as an Incentive to Reduce the Geoecological Risk of the Activities of Russian Oil and Gas Companies in the Arctic]. Prob-lemy analiza riskov [Issues of Risk Analysis], 2017, no. 2, vol. 14, pp. 98–106.
  • Komleva N.A. Arkticheskaya strategiya priarkticheskikh gosudarstv [Arctic Strategy of the Subarctic States: General and Especial]. Arktika i Sever [Arctic and North], 2011, no. 2, pp. 19–25.
  • Allayarov R.A., Shubin S.I. Strategicheskie interesy Danii v Arktike. Grenlandiya — glavnyy faktor sokhraneniya arkticheskogo statusa. Problemy i perspektivy [Strategic Interests of Denmark in the Arctic. Greenland is the Main Factor in Preserving the Arctic Status. Problems and Prospects]. Voprosy studencheskoy nauki [Student Science Issues], 2017, no. 15, p. 198–202.
  • Canada’s Northern Strategy: our North, our Heritage, our Future. Ottawa, Government of Canada, 2009, 42 р.
  • Konyshev V.N., Sergunin A.A. Arktika v mezhdunarodnoy politike: sotrudnichestvo ili sopernichestvo? [The Arctic in International Politics: Cooperation or Rivalry?]. Moscow, Rossiyskiy institut strate-gicheskikh issledovaniy Publ., 2011, 194 p. (In Russ.)
  • Statement on Canada’s Arctic Foreign Policy. Exercising Sovereignty and Promoting Canada’s Northern Strategy Abroad, 2010, 27 p.
  • Bashkin V.N., Trubitsina O.P., Priputina I.V. Evaluation of Geo-Environmental Risks in the Impacted Zones of Oil and Gas Industry in the Russian Arctic. Biogeochemical Technologies for Managing Envi-ronmental Pollution in Polar Ecosystems, 2016, pp. 109–116.
  • Trubitsina O.P., Bashkin V.N. Environmental Ratings as a Factor of Improving Investment Attractive-ness of Russian Oil and Gas Companies, Operating in the Arctic. Ecological and Biogeochemical Cycling in Impacted Polar Ecosystems, 2017, pp. 275–291.
  • Trubitsina O.P. Biota Monitoring in the Impacted Zones of Oil and Gas Industry in the Arctic Region. Biogeochemical Technologies for Managing Environmental Pollution in Polar Ecosystems, 2016, pp. 87–94.
  • Morgunov B.A. Diagnosticheskiy analiz ekologicheskogo sostoyaniya rossiyskoy Arktiki (rasshirennoe rezyume) [Diagnostic Analysis of the Ecological State of the Russian Arctic]. Moscow, Nauchnyy mir Publ., 2011, 172 p. (In Russ.)
  • Trubitsina O.P., Bashkin V.N. The Analysis of Geoecological Risks and Ratings as a Factor of Improving Investment Attractiveness of Enterprises. Biogeochemical Technologies for Managing Environmental Pollution in Polar Ecosystems, 2016, pp. 141–150.
  • Trubitsina O.P. Ecological Monitoring of Acid Deposition in the Arctic Region. The Open Ecology Jour-nal, 2015, no. 8, pp. 21–31.
Еще
Статья научная