Markers for unblocking the development trajectory of the Russian Federation's mono-profile regions

The article is devoted to the identification of markers of changes in the sectoral structure of the economy as a result of the action of evolutionary endogenous and “shock” exogenous factors as determining the trajectory of the development of the region. The methodology of the study is based on the principles of dependence on previous development («path dependence»), regional branching of specializations, different translation of shocks to changes in the territorial economy. In the course of the study, a dynamic, coefficient, comparison, analysis and synthesis methods were used. In addition to the traditional factors affecting the transformation of the monoprofile, related to its scale, “rootedness”, uniqueness and features of the territorial organization of the regional economy, the effect of macro- and foreign economic factors that change the situation in the regional economy is analyzed. A system of markers classified according to evolutionary and shock factors is substantiated. As a result of the assessment of the situation of the monspecialized regions of metallurgical orientation, profiles of sectoral changes are constructed on the basis of specialization, regional conditions, macroeconomic technological shifts in the industry structure, “practice” of passing through crisis periods. The situations of absence, weak signals and the formation of conditions for the start of structural processes are highlighted. The practical significance of the study lies in the development of a system of markers for the reconfiguration of the region's economy to monitor changes and differentiate the tools of state industrial policy.