A forecasting method of industrial enterprise power consumption

Forecasting of electricity consumption by enterprise divisions and by the enterprise in whole is considered. At the level of enterprise divisions, forecasting is based on empirical functional relations of specific electricity consumption and the production output. At the level of the enterprise in whole, the problem of minimizing errors in electricity consumption forecasting is resolved on the adjustment of actual electricity consumption by the enterprise in whole defined using meter readings and the estimated summary electricity consumption of particular enterprise divisions. The offered method of optimal forecasting has been tested on real data of a metallurgical enterprise. The estimates showed that the average forecasting accuracy of the electricity consumption for the enterprise divisions and the enterprise in whole (winter 2013) is 0.11 % and 0.137 % respectively.