Industry sovereignization potential of monospecialized regions in conditions of instability

In the context of macroeconomic instability, the industrial sector of the Russian Federation is the recipient of numerous threats and restrictions related to the tightening of export-import policy measures by unfriendly countries, forced changes in logistics chains, and general market instability. In these circumstances, ensuring industrial sovereignty becomes one of the important tasks for the economic security system of the Russian Federation, the solution of which is largely related to the industrial policy of industrial single-industry regions. The purpose of the study is a comparative analysis of indicators of the potential for the sovereignization of industry in the monospecialized regions of the Russian Federation with a metallurgical profile. Research hypothesis states that in conditions of macroeconomic instability, monospecialized regions diverge in the directions of formation and degree of industry sovereignty. The information base of the study was open statistical data on the activities of single-industry regions for 2019-2022; the study employed dynamic, coefficient method and comparison method. The paper concretizes the concept of industrial sovereignty; presents a cumulative model of industry sovereignty, including three components - industrial, technological and digital sovereignty; proposes a methodological approach to assessing the potential of sovereignty using indicators characterizing resource availability, import substitution processes and the creation of own products and technologies, as well as the results of the functioning of industry in a monospecialized region. Based on the assessment of empirical data, the following groups of regions are identified: regions with high positive dynamics of indicators of strengthening technological and digital sovereignty with relatively high import dependence (Sverdlovsk and Lipetsk regions); regions with high positive dynamics of industrial sovereignty with relatively low technological and digital sovereignty and average import dependence (Vologda and Murmansk regions); regions with medium or low ratings of all types of independence (Krasnoyarsk Territory and Chelyabinsk region). The results of the study make it possible to clarify the directions of industrial policy and a set of selective measures to support industrial regions of metallurgical profile.