Scenario development forecast of the region under the conditions of economic instability

Автор: Selin Vladimir Stepanovich

Журнал: Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast @volnc-esc-en

Рубрика: The strategy of development

Статья в выпуске: 1 (5) т.2, 2009 года.

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The problem of the reliable prognoses of economical development is mainframe for making up any strategic document. No methodology can guarantee clear indexes of the long-rang dynamics. Under such circumstances the proper way out can be creating of the alternative scenarios, characterizing the threshold possibilities of the event development. Such point of view is especially relevant under the circumstances of the economic instability.

Prognosis, economic development, methodology, dynamics, scenario, perspectives, instability

Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/147223115

IDR: 147223115

Список литературы Scenario development forecast of the region under the conditions of economic instability

  • Uzjakov, M.N. About the quality of a scientific prediction/M.N. Uzjakov//The problems of forecasting. -2008. -№1. -Р. 3-18.
  • Jantovsky, A.A. The scenario forecast of the Hanty-Mansijskiy county's development under the conditions of diversity in the branch structure of the regional economy/A.A. Jantovsky//Scientific researches of the Institute of economic forecasting. -M.: MaxPress, 2006. -P. 560-571.
  • The regional development: experience of Russia and the European Union/Under the editorship of Academician A.G. Granberg. -M.: Economy, 2000. -435 with.
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