Territorial decomposition of balanced scorecard for evaluation of primary energy resources in fuel and energy sector in the Northwestern federal district to ensure its sustainable development

Автор: Salina Tatyana Konstantinovna

Журнал: Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast @volnc-esc-en

Рубрика: Branch-wise economy

Статья в выпуске: 5 (53) т.10, 2017 года.

Бесплатный доступ

The research subject in the article is the correlation between evaluation indicators of primary energy resources in the fuel and energy sector in the Northwestern Federal District of the country. The purpose for the study is to evaluate the primary energy resources of the fuel and energy sector in the Northwestern Federal District in terms of economic, technological, energy, social, and environmental parameters with the use of balanced scorecard (BSC) for sustainable development of the sector in the Northwestern Federal District as a whole. Methods. The article proposes the methodology for territorial decomposition of the balanced scorecard for evaluating primary energy resources in the Northwestern Federal District. The region's balanced scorecard decomposition of evaluation of primary energy resources in the case of the Arkhangelsk Oblast fuel and energy sector, including Nenets Autonomous Okrug, is determined; the authors identify the degree of stability of the fuel land energy sector in the Arkhangelsk Oblast, according to the following parameters of sustainable development of the energy sector in the Northwestern Federal District: economic, technological, energy, social, environmental...

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Fuel and energy sector, balanced system of indicators, primary energy resources, sustainable development

Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/147223974

IDR: 147223974   |   DOI: 10.15838/esc.2017.5.53.9

Текст научной статьи Territorial decomposition of balanced scorecard for evaluation of primary energy resources in fuel and energy sector in the Northwestern federal district to ensure its sustainable development

Introduction. The concept of sustainable development (SD), according to Agenda 21 adopted at the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development held June 14th, 1992 in Rio de Janeiro, and a number of subsequent documents1 are the basis for the transition to sustainable development. The provisions of the concept are reflected in many international agreements developed on the basis of national concepts of sustainable development, including those published in Russia, such as the Concept of Russia’s transition to sustainable development, the Environmental doctrine of the Russian Federation, the Climate doctrine of the Russian Federation, the Concept of longterm socio-economic development of the Russian Federation up to 2020, the Energy strategy of Russia up to 2030, and other legal acts reflecting the principles of sustainable development, as well as in the works of scholars working on the issues of sustainable development, for example, V.A. Vasilenko [5], Yu.P. Grigorieva [6], and in the proceedings of Institute of the energy strategy [1; 4].

The process of global sustainable development is based on the influence of global factors and the consideration of specific characteristics of each country’s economy, its resource potential, economic, natural, geographical, and other conditions, namely, the components which form the framework of the system of sustainable development. In this regard, trends in the study of the issues of interaction between the society and environment, between nature and human activities become relevant.

In order to achieve sustainable development it is necessary to develop appropriate mechanisms to manage the sustainability of national economies, as well as its constituent regions [5] and industries, including fuel and energy complex (e.g., V.I. Kalika [10], T.A. Moiseen-kova [12], Grigor’eva Yu.P. [7; 8]). In this term, the goal of the fuel and energy complex (FEC) is to meet the population’s needs in energy resources at economically reasonable prices, maintain the stability of the energy market and ensure environmental safety [2; 9].

The essence of the strategies of socioeconomic development of the state, namely the Concept of socio-economic development of Russia up to 2020, the Strategy for socioeconomic development of the Northwestern federal district (NWFD), as well as the Energy strategy up to 2030 (ES-2030) focused on innovative and sustainable development of FEC as a driver of economic growth is that they have a direct impact on the socio-economic development of the country in general and the Northwestern federal district in particular: on the achievement of economic growth, increase in population’s welfare [8]. In this context, the study of the role of FEC in sustainable development of the country as a complex multilevel system becomes highly relevant.

Russia’s Northwestern federal district is a major promising area of FEC development in the European Russia. The raw material profile of the region Is in the long term attributed to geographic proximity to major energy consumers and export pipeline systems.

Most modern FEC development scenarios for the country in general and NWFD in particular originate from the key role of primary energy resources (PER)2 in the energy supply of the national economy [13]. Changes in conditions of FEC functioning, namely depletion of the developing supplies of energy resources, increasing competition for access to new mineral deposits, the influence of natural factors, the need for development of underdeveloped less efficient resource deposits, deposits located in remote areas with harsh geological and climatic conditions, and the need to develop the necessary infrastructure.

Thus, the development of economic tools for sustainable development of FEC in the NWFD3 which would take into account economic, technological, energy, social, and environmental aspects of its functioning, as well as its components, namely FEC of its entities forming the FEC in the NWFD is an urgent objective [13].

In the article, the author offers balanced scorecard (BSC) assessment of PER of FEC in NWFD in general and of its separate elements as an economic tool for sustainable development of FEC in NWFD since this system has an advantage: there is a possibility to interrelate economic, technological, energy, social, and environmental parameters of functioning of FEC in NWFD. More about the advantages of BSC see in works by M.G. Brown [3], D. Norton and R. Kaplan [11; 19; 20] and other foreign studies [16; 17; 18].

The nature and content of BSC assessment of primary energy resources to ensure sustainable development of FEC in NWFD is covered in [18]. The article proposes a decomposition of BSC assessment of primary energy resources for individual entities in NWFD.

1. The decomposition methodology of the BSC assessment of primary energy resources of FEC in NWFD.

Decomposition to lower management levels of sustainable development of FEC in NWFD is carried out according to the development objectives so that the objectives of lower levels are not contrary to those of higher levels. The

BSC, level 1

Assessment of PER of FEC in NWFD in general

Figure 1. Horizontal and vertical decomposition of BSC assessment of primary energy resources

BSC, level 2

Assessment of specific types of PER (activity) of NWFD constituent entities

Komi Republic

LUKOIL

____О

BSC, level 3 Assessment of economic entites in NWFD

Drilling

с

о

Nenets Autonomous Okrug renewable energy sources (RES) Q

Oblast о

Gas

о

Coal

Capacities

GAZPROM

Vorkutaugol'

Horizontal decomposition

о – assessment is carried out by 5 parameters: economic, technological, energy, social, and environmental construction of BSC assessment of primary energy resources of a single entity in NWFD is advisable to be carried out according to specific features of a specific constituent entity of the Russian Federation which is a part of NWFD and produces energy resources. Goals of sustainable development of entities in NWFD should contribute to the achievement of the development goals of the entire complex.

According to the proposed approach, the decomposition of BSC assessment of PER in NWFD can be carried out in two directions ( Fig. 1 ):

– horizontally (at the same hierarchical level): resource decomposition (by type of energy resource); process decomposition (by type of a process [7]);

– vertically – involvement of other management levels (territorial decomposition).

The article proposes the methodology for territorial decomposition of BSC assessment of PER in constituent entities of NWFD.

The territorial decomposition is carries out in order to:

  • 1.    Develop the indicators for assessment of PER of a constituent entity of the Russian Federation according to parameters of sustainable development of FEC in NWFD (economic, technological, energy, social, environmental);

  • 2.    Reflect the contribution of individual constituent entities of the Russian Federation to the achievement of target values of indicators of assessing PER.

  • 3.    Focus the management processes on key framework indicators for assessing PER to ensure sustainable development of FEC in NWFD.

The territorial decomposition of BSC is performed according to the following steps:

  • 1.    Defining the territorial structure of decomposition. Target indicators and their values for a constituent entity of the Russian Federation are formulated depending on the economic situation in the region. BSC in general acts as a framework within which BSC assessment of PER of a constituent entity in NWFD is formed for a lower level.

  • 2.    Framing of development goals for FEC of a NWFD constituent entity in the framework of general goals of sustainable development of FEC in NWFD.

  • 3.    Development of indicators for assessment of PER. The indicators are fully transferred from BSC assessment of PER of FEC in NWFD to regions. However, their target and threshold values may be adjusted depending on specific characteristics of the region on coordination with higher management levels in a way that does not contradict to sustainable development of the entire complex.

  • 4.    Reflection of cause-and-effect relations between parameters of sustainable development and their indicators (PER scorecard). PER scorecard reflects cause-and-effect relations between separate PER assessment indicators. Cause-and-effect relations are reflected in the scorecard in the following objectives:

  • – to demonstrate the relations and correlation between performance indicators;

    – to reveal the mutual effects arising from the implementation of sustainable development objectives;

    – to provide a common understanding of the state of FEC sustainable development;

    – to ensure the achievement of goals of sustainable development;

    – to contribute to the establishment of the management hierarchy.

  • 5.    The establishment of target indicator values. Assessments of PER of FEC in NWFD for its constituent entities are established based on target values of indicators. But, depending on specific characteristics of the region, they can change their value by decision of the governing bodies with stating the reason.

  • 6.    Threshold values of indicators. Threshold values for indicators are set to determine the degree of stability of development of FEC in NWFD.

A threshold indicator value is the value of the indicator of PER, the achievement or exceeding of which is considered as a transition of the given indicator to a qualitatively new larger area of with higher loss of sustainable development in FEC of the region. The degree of sustainability of the region’s FEC is a conditional indicator characterizing the degree of achievement of target indicator values of assessment of PER for sustainable development of FEC of the region.

The author presents the following degrees of sustainable development of FEC in the region for each parameter. In turn, the borderline state and the state of instability are divided into three stages:

  • I.    Sustainable development (SD) – achieving or improving of target indicator values.

  • II.    Borderline state (BS): minor loss of sustainability (MLS) – a deviation of not more than 10% from target values of indicator of PER assessment; increasing sustainability loss (ISL) not more than 20%; the stage of transition to the state of unsustainable development (TSD) – no more than 30%.

  • III.    Unsustainable development: the initial stage of unsustainable development (NSNU) – not more than 40%; significant loss of development sustainability (SLDS) – not more than 50%; complete loss of development sustainability (CLDS) – more than 50%.

  • 7.    Assessment and specification of the degree of stability. The specification of FEC sustainability may be conducted based on the approach proposed in [7].

  • 8.    Documentation of results.

  • 9.    Coordination of decomposition results with higher levels of management. At this stage, depending on the obtained evaluation results, management influence may be adjusted to ensure sustainable development.

  • 10.    Comparison of assessment results with the FEC development goals in the region. At this stage, it is necessary to define the contribution of NWFD constituent entity in achieving the goals of sustainable development of FEC in NWFD. The goals at all management levels can be adjusted in order to develop mechanisms to achieve them.

  • 2.    Territorial decomposition of BSC assessment of PER (the case of the Arkhangelsk Oblast, including Nenets Autonomous Okrug).

  • 2.1.    The structure of the territorial decomposition of BSC.

  • 2.2.    Formulating FEC development goals in the Arkhangelsk Oblast and formation of indicators to assess primary energy resources.

  • 2.3.    PER scorecard in the Arkhangelsk Oblast.

The boundaries of states of sustainability may vary depending on the purpose of analysis and the state of FEC development, as well as on strategic goals of its development.

Territorial decomposition is carried out for regions producing energy resources. In the article, the BSC decomposition will be carried out in the case of the Arkhangelsk Oblast.

When forming BSC assessment of PER in the Arkhangelsk Oblast, assessment indicators are fully transferred from the total BSC. In this case, the contribution of FEC in NWFD in the achievement of target indicator values of FEC in NWFD is determined ( Tab. 1 ).

PER scorecard in the Arkhangelsk Oblast is created on the basis of overall scorecard of PER assessment of FEC in NWFD ( Fig. 2 ).

Documentation of cause-and-effect correlation between separate indicators is carried out simultaneously with their development. The correlation is characterized by the following data: number of correlation, indicator which has an influence or is influenced; “transcript” of the correlation; how the change in A parameter value influences the achievement or non-achievement of the target parameter value; brief description of correlation content.

  • (1)    strong influence. Short-term investments (E21, E22, E23) adversely affect the indicators of economic efficiency. At the beginning of the period there is an increase in the cost, later – a decrease.

  • (2)    strong influence. Capital investments (E21, E22, E23) have a direct impact on the technological infrastructure (T11, T12) of the production process. Investments in modern equipment and technology improves the condition of fixed assets and increases innovation activity of fuel enterprises.

  • (3)    strong influence. The technological infrastructure (T11, T12) of the production process has a direct impact on PER production efficiency (T21, T22, T23). The better the condition of fixed assets, the higher innovative activity, the higher is the efficiency of natural resource management (oil recovery rate, oil gas use rate).

Table 1. Documentation of sustainable development goals and indicators for assessing PER in the Arkhangelsk Oblast (AO)

Goal of SD

1

No. E1 (AO)

Parameter of SD of FEC in NWFD

Economic

Goal subject

Ensuring economic efficiency of PER production to ensure SD of EFC in NWFD

Goal validation

Achieved through reducing the cost of PER production and financial sustainability

Assessment indicators

Cost development rate

Change in production costs per 1 RUR of gross output (GO)

PER production profitability

Financial sustainability

E11 ( АО )

E12 ( АО )

E13 ( АО )

E14 ( АО )

Period

Up to 2030

Goal of SD

No. E2( АО )

Parameter of SD of FEC in NWFD

Economic

Goal subject

Increase in capital investment (CI) in PER production

Goal validation

Contributes to modernization and increased efficiency of FEC functioning in NWFD

Assessment indicators

Capital investment growth rate

Specific capital investment per one PER unit

Specific costs of innovation per one PER unit

E21 (АО)

E22 (АО)

E23 (АО)

Period

Up to 2030

Goal of SD

No. E3( АО )

Parameter of SD of FEC in NWFD

Economic

Goal subject

Increase in labor productivity

Goal validation

Will improve production efficiency

Assessment indicators

Labor productivity growth rate

Share of GO growth rate due to increased labor productivity

E31 (АО)

E32 (АО)

Period

Up to 2030

Goal of SD

No.T1( АО )

Parameter of SD of FEC in NWFD

Technological

Goal subject

Modernization of PER production capacities

Goal validation

Will increase PER production efficiency

Assessment indicators

Degree of depreciation of fixed assets Innovation activity

T11 (АО)

T12 (АО)

Period

Up to 2030

Goal of SD

No. Т 2( АО )

Parameter of SD of FEC in NWFD

Technological

Goal subject

Increase in PER production efficiency

Goal validation

Will decrease PER production costs

Assessment indicators

Mineral resource management efficiency

Accident rate

Energy consumption

Т21 (АО)

Т22 (АО)

Т23 (АО)

Period

Up to 2030

Goal of SD

No. Т 3( АО )

Parameter of SD of FEC in NWFD

Technological

Goal subject

Development of PER production capacities

Goal validation

Will help meet the need for PER

Assessment indicators

Compliance of capacities to region’s needs

Share of new capacities in the total PER production output

Share of Russian equipment

Т31 (АО)

Т32 (АО)

Т33 (АО)

End of Table 1

Period

Up to 2030

Goal of SD

No. En1(АО)

Parameter of SD of FEC in NWFD

Energy

Goal subject

Reproduction of fuel and energy resources (FER)

Goal validation

Ensuring reliable energy supply services for the population

Assessment indicators

Access of the district to its own PER

Rate of increase in FER supply

Renewability of FER supplies

Compliance of energy consumption to region’s needs

PER production increase rate

En11 (АО)

En12 (АО)

En13 (АО)

En14 (АО)

En15 (АО)

Period

Up to 2030

Goal of SD

No. En2(АО)

Parameter of SD of FEC in NWFD

Energy

Goal subject

Rationalization of PER production structure

Goal validation

Meeting the need for PER

Assessment indicators

Share of FER supplies in new deposits

Share of FER production in complex deposits

En21 (АО)

En22 (АО)

Period

Up to 2030

Goal of SD

No. S1(АО)

Parameter of SD of FEC in NWFD

Social

Goal subject

Development and increased use of human potential

Goal validation

Increasing the quality of human potential

Assessment indicators

Share of the employed, under 40

Share of the employed with higher (professional) education

Share of loss of working hours

Personnel turnover

S11 ( АО )

S12 ( АО )

S13 ( АО )

S14 ( АО )

Period

Up to 2030

Goal of SD

No. S2(АО)

Parameter of SD of FEC in NWFD

Social

Goal subject

Increased social responsibility and satisfaction of the employees

Goal validation

Increasing the quality of human potential

Assessment indicators

Salary rate (compared to the district) Danger coefficient

Average period of training for one employee

S21 (АО)

S22 (АО)

S23 (АО)

Period

Up to 2030

Goal of SD

No. Ec1(АО)

Parameter of SD of FEC in NWFD

Environmental

Goal subject

Reduced emission of pollutants into the environment

Goal validation

Natural resource management

Assessment indicators

Environmental friendliness (share of toxic emissions)

Share of generated waste

Share of water consumption

Ec11 ( АО )

Ec12 ( АО )

Ec13 ( АО )

Period

Up to 2030

Goal of SD

No. Ec2( АО )

Parameter of SD of FEC in NWFD

Environmental

Goal subject

Elimination of consequences of PER production

Goal validation

Restoration of environment

Assessment indicators

Level of land re-cultivation

Rate of expansion of disturbed lands

Rate of increase of mud pits

Ec21 ( АО )

Ec22 ( АО )

Ec23 ( АО )

Period

Up to 2030

Figure 2. PER scorecard assessment in the Arkhangelsk Oblast

Т 31

Т 33

T11

Т 12

Т 34

En11

Working conditions

S21

S22

S11

S12

S23

S13

S14

En11

En12

State of workforce

Labor productivity

E11

E12

E31

E21

E22

E13

E14

E23

E24

E32

Capacities

Production efficiency

Т 21

Т 22

Т 23

Т 32

PER production

12        13

En12

En21

En15

En13

En22

En13

Technological infrastructure

Capital investment

Economic efficiency

Environmental impact

Energy potential

&2& ф &ш&

14 15

Elimination of consequences

En21

En22

  • (4)    strong influence. The technological infrastructure (T11, T12) of the production process has a direct impact on production efficiency (E11, E12, E13, E14, E15). This correlation is due to the fact that the condition of fixed assets and innovative activities affects the growth rate of PER cost, profitability, etc.

  • (5)    moderate mutual influence. Labor productivity (E31, E32) has an impact on economic efficiency (E11, E12, E13, E14). The

more gross output per one employee engaged in production of PER, the more economically efficient it is. On the other hand, the more capital investments, the higher is labor productivity through the use of modern technology.

  • (6)    strong influence. The technological infrastructure (T11, T12) of the production process has a direct impact on productivity.

  • (7)    moderate influence. The efficiency of the production process (T21, T22, T23) has an

impact on economic efficiency (E11, E12, E13, E14) since, for example, accident elimination requires costs.

  • (8)    rather strong influence. The technological infrastructure (T11, T12) in PER production has a direct impact on the environment (accident spills due to deterioration of equipment).

  • (9)    strong influence. The technological infrastructure (T11, T12) in PER production characterizes the working conditions.

  • (10)    strong influence. The technological infrastructure (T11, T12) of the production process characterizes the reproductive capacity of the district. This is due to the fact that there are resource supplies whose development is possible only with the use of modern equipment.

  • (11)    strong influence. Production capacity (T31, T32, T33, T34) affect the possibilities of reproduction, as well as on the formation of the energy potential of NWFD.

  • (12)    rather strong influence. PER production (T21, T22, T23) has a direct impact on the environment (accident spills due to deterioration of equipment).

  • (13)    rather strong influence. The satisfaction of employees affects the production efficiency as the better the working conditions (C21, C22, C23) the higher is PER production efficiency.

  • (14)    rather strong influence. Due to the development of capacities (T31, T32, T33, T34) it becomes possible to satisfy the energy demand by developing new deposits.

  • (15)    strong influence. The state of workforce (C11, C12, C13, C14) has a direct impact on productivity.

  • (16)    rather strong influence. The higher the quality of workforce (C11, C12, C13, C14) the greater is the cost of its content (E11, E12, E13, E14).

  • (17)    rather strong influence. The greater the negative impact on the environment (Ec11, Ec12, Ec13), the higher is the scale of consequences for elimination (Ec21, Ec22).

  • (18)    rather strong influence. In order to eliminate the consequences of environmental impacts (oil spills, sludge pits, etc.) (Ec21, Ec22) it is necessary to invest (E11, E12, E13, E14).

  • 2.4.    The establishment of target values of indicators of assessment of primary energy resources in the Arkhangelsk Oblast.

  • 2.5.    Threshold indicator values .

  • 2.6.    The evaluation and determination of the degree of sustainability.

Target values are set for all regions in NWFD for periods of implementation of strategic documents (ES-2030) broken down into three periods based on the experience of leading companies of ES-2030, research of designated organizations. More about the rationale of indicators and their target values see in [14]. Further we perform the documentation of target values of indicators of PER assessment and establishment of their actual values ( Tab. 2 ).

Threshold indicator values are defined according to the method proposed in [7]. Table 3 demonstrates the results of threshold indicator values iterations for assessing PER in the Arkhangelsk Oblast.

The results of determining the degree of sustainability of FEC in the Arkhangelsk Oblast as a whole and by individual parameters are given in Table 4 .

Conclusion

Based on the assessment we can draw the following conclusion: sustainable development is achieved only by the energy parameter. This is due to the fact that this constituent entity of the Northwestern FD possesses PER

Table 2. Documentation of actual values of indicators of an estimation of primary energy*

PER assessment indicator Target value Actual value (2014) Economic parameter PER cost increase rate, % No more than 110 92 Change in production costs per 1 ruble of gross output, RUR/RUR No more than 0 -0.08 PER production profitability, % No less than 15 -14.9 Financial sustainability, relative units No less than 1,9 0.58 Capital investment growth rate, % No less than 120 91 Capital investment ratio per TFOE, RUR./ TFOE No less than 3200 1919 R&D costs ratio per PER, RUR./TFOE No less than 50 Not published Labor productivity increase rate, % No less than 110 98 Share of gross output increase by means of LP, % No less than 5 -0.02 Technological parameter Degree of fix assets depreciation, % No more than 48 44.9 Innovation activity, relative units No less than 0.7 0.339 Natural resource management efficiency, % No less than 127 113 Risk of accidents, units/TFOE. No more than 100 144 Energy consumption, TFOE./thou TFOE No more than 12 52.25 Compliance of capacities to region’s needs, % No less than 150 160 Share of new capacities in the total PER production output, % No less than 27 7.6 Share of Russian equipment, % No more than 20 74 Energy parameter Access of the district to its own PER, % No less than 102 150 Rate of increase in FER supply, % No less than 103 120 Reproduction of FER, % No less than 130 135 Compliance of energy consumption to region’s needs, % No less than 110 200 PER production increase rate, % No less than 103 106 Share of FER supplies in new deposits, % No less than 12 13 Share of FER production in complex deposits, % No less than 10 100 Social parameter Share of the employed, under 40, % No less than 30 29 Share of the employed with higher (professional) education, % No less than 60 26.5 Average number of training hours per 1 employee, No less than 78 45 Loss of working hours rate, % No more than 4 3.2 Personnel turnover rate, % No more than12 48 Salary rate, % No less than 150 253 Danger coefficient No more than 7.6 9.7 Environmental parameter Environmental friendliness, kg/TFOE No more than 70 90 Share of generated waste, kg/TFOE No more than 5 6.3 Share of water consumption, m3/TFOE No more than 3.5 2.5 Level of land re-cultivation from yearly disturbance, % No less than 65 70 Rate of expansion of disturbed lands, % No more than 100 112 Rate of increase of mud pits, % No more than 100 115 * Compiled from statistical data on the Arkhangelsk Oblast, including the Nenets Autonomous Okrug: Arkhangel’skaya oblast’ v tsifrakh. 2015: kr. stat. sb. [Arkhangelsk Oblast in numbers: brief statistical book]. Federal State Statistics Service, (Arkhangelskstat). Arkhangelsk, 2016. 235 p.; O sostoyanii i ispol’zovanii mineral’no-syr’evykh resursov Rossiiskoi Federatsii v 2014 godu: Gosudarstvennyi doklad [On the state and use of mineral resources of the Russian Federation in 2014: State report]. Moscow, 2015. Available at: ru/upload/iblock/331/ (accessed: October, 2016.); O sostoyanii okruzhayushchei sredy v Nenetskom avtonomnom okruge v 2014 godu: doklad [On the state of environment in the Nenets Autonomous Okrug in 2014; report]. Available at: ru/doklady-i-otchety-o-deyatelnosti/doklady-o-sostoyanii-okruzhayushej-sredy-v-neneckom-avtonomnom-okruge/ (accessed: October, 2016); Promyshlennost’ Rossii. 2014: stat. sb. [Industry of Russia, 2014; statistical book]. Rosstat. Moscow, 2014. 326 p.; Regiony Ros-sii. Sotsial’no-ekonomicheskie pokazateli. 2015: stat. sb. [Russian regions. Socio-economic indicators, 2015: statistical book]. Rosstat. Moscow, 2015. 1266 p.; Rossiiskii statisticheskii ezhegodnik. 2015: stat. sb. [Russian statistics yearbook, 2015: statistical book]. Rosstat. Moscow, 2015. 728 p.; Statisticheskii ezhegodnik Arkhangel’skoi oblasti. 2014:stat. sb. [Statistics yearbook of the Arkhangelsk Oblast, 2014: statistical book]. Federa;l State Statistics Service, Arkhangelskstat. Arkhangelsk, 2015. 187 p.

Table 3. Threshold values for determining the degree of FEC sustainability in the Arkhangelsk Oblast including Nenets Autonomous Okrug

PER assessment indicators

Threshold values

Borderline state (BS)

Unsustainable development (USD)

MLS

ISL

TSD

ISUD

SLDS

CLDS

Economic parameter

E1

110

121

133.1

146.41

161.051

177.1561

E2

0.1

0.11

0.121

0.1331

0.14641

0.161051

E3

15

13.5

12.15

10.935

9.8415

8.85735

E4

1.9

1.71

1.539

1.3851

1.24659

1.121931

E5

120

108

97.2

87.48

78.732

70.8588

E6

3200

2880

2592

2332.8

2099.52

1889.568

E7

50

45

40.5

36.45

32.805

29.5245

E8

110

99

89.1

80.19

72.171

64.9539

E9

5

4.5

4.05

3.645

3.2805

2.95245

Technological parameter

Т1

48

52.8

58.08

63.888

70.2768

77.30448

Т2

0.7

0.63

0.567

0.5103

0.45927

0.413343

Т3

127

114.3

102.87

92.583

83.3247

74.99223

Т4

100

110

121

133.1

146.41

161.051

Т5

12

13.2

14.52

15.972

17.5692

19.32612

Т6

150

135

121.5

109.35

98.415

88.5735

Т7

27

24.3

21.87

19.683

17.7147

15.94323

Т8

20

22

24.2

26.62

29.282

32.2102

Energy parameter

En1

102

91.8

82.62

74.358

66.9222

60.22998

En2

103

92.7

83.43

75.087

67.5783

60.82047

En3

130

117

105.3

94.77

85.293

76.7637

En4

110

99

89.1

80.19

72.171

64.9539

En5

103

92.7

83.43

75.087

67.5783

60.82047

En6

12

10.8

9.72

8.748

7.8732

7.08588

En7

10

9

8.1

7.29

6.561

5.9049

Social parameter

S1

30

27

24.3

21.87

19.683

17.7147

S2

60

54

48.6

43.74

39.366

35.4294

S3

78

70.2

63.18

56.862

51.1758

46.05822

S4

4

4.4

4.84

5.324

5.8564

6.44204

S5

12

13.2

14.52

15.972

17.5692

19.32612

S6

150

135

121.5

109.35

98.415

88.5735

S7

7.6

8.36

9.196

10.1156

11.12716

12.239876

Environmental parameter

Ec1

70

77

84.7

93.17

102.487

112.7357

Ec2

5

5.5

6.05

6.655

7.3205

8.05255

Ec3

3.5

3.85

4.235

4.6585

5.12435

5.636785

Ec4

65

58.5

52.65

47.385

42.6465

38.38185

Ec5

100

110

121

133.1

146.41

161.051

Ec6

100

110

121

133.1

146.41

161.051

Table 4. Determination of the degree of sustainability of FEC development in the Arkhangelsk Oblast including Nenets Autonomous Okrug

Parameter

Normalized valuesof degrees of FEC development sustainability in NWFD

Parameter assessment

State of FEC in NWFD

BS

USD

MLS

ISL

TSD

ISUD

SLDS

CLDS

Economic

0.00

0.35

0.69

1.00

1.30

1.59

1.79

Complete loss of development sustainability

Technological

0.00

0.35

0.00

0.34

0.67

1.00

1.94

Complete loss of development sustainability

Energy

0.00

0.37

0.70

1.00

1.27

1.51

0.00

Sustainable development

Social

0.00

0.34

0.67

1.00

1.33

1.65

1.5

Significant loss of development sustainability

Environmental

0.00

0.31

0.65

1.00

1.38

1.79

0.59

Increasing loss of development sustainability

FEC

0.00

0.34

0.67

1.00

1.32

1.64

1.16

Initial state of unsustainable development

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