The mission of Russia − is to be an example of building the world power with the optimal social – cultural model of the development of the nations
Автор: Zalivsky N.P.
Журнал: Arctic and North @arctic-and-north
Рубрика: Geopolitics
Статья в выпуске: 9, 2012 года.
Бесплатный доступ
The article defines the futurological capabilities of Russia to the world’s leadership in the social modernization of the society. As hypotheses for the strengthen of the Russian's geopolitical situation in the long-term historical process is named, as the stimulation process of the unitarization of the government, evolutionary modernization of the national and ethnic portrait of the Russian society and the formation of the associated sozium with the culture of the union historical existence. The author emphasizes that the international leadership of Russia in the social development of mankind is based on the leading social policy of the country, its peoples (ethnic groups) and the Russian society.
Futurology, social mission of the Russian Federation, future of the XXI−XXXI century, the assimilation of nations, national elites, diagnosing of the problems, unitarization, the symbiosis of the ethnic cultures of Russia, the Russian society
Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/148320382
IDR: 148320382
Текст научной статьи The mission of Russia − is to be an example of building the world power with the optimal social – cultural model of the development of the nations
The states form world civilization. They represent a variety of existing models of the public institutions with multi-vector dynamics of the historical process, about the dominant conceptions of their place in the future history of mankind. The concept reflects the psychological perception of life and moral philosophy and worldview of the people of the state. Its core is invisible intuitive sense of the mission of the social and political future of the state in some way determined by the dynamics of life philosophy and practice of each generation of its citizens.
Previous history of mankind has shown that this or that is due to its phase separation of the several states that seek to dominate the fate of other nations. The past two millennia have revealed a pattern of the struggle for primacy in the historical development of mankind. This periodic change of states - the leading actors of the world influence. They were ancient Egypt, the Byzantine Empire, Portugal, Spain, UK, France, Germany, USA, Russia.
The third millennium of the history of human civilization will be objectively demonstrate, by virtue of a permanent change in the law of the evolution of the world leaders, the transition palm of the championship from one state to another. The leading countries of the modern world (at least, outside the G20) – is the most likely participants of this global competition. All this creates and reproduces the global demand for ideas to upgrade basics of human life, nourishing the world powers compete for a place in the leaders of the social progress on the pedestal of the historical success of the internal political and the economic system.
We must not forget that the modern countries differ on the possible impact on the parameters of the state and development of the global space of the human life. XXI Century has visibly demonstrates the potential of the historical leaders of the structure of development of the world. However, allow us to assess the actual role of the assumption of a state (group of countries) in the world community of their potential: economic, military, intellectual. This criterion, in our opinion, differentiates political and psychological conditions of the onset of the global hegemony of the ideology, their chances for project proposals to be a significant factor of the constructing futurological perspectives.
In the context of the theme of this article, it is first of all, the impact of geo cultural contenders for the global leadership on domestic social development of other countries. To the subjects of the sociocultural impact of geopolitics on the modern world include the USA, China, Russia, India, and Japan. You can include some other countries of the world whose spiritual and cultural potential has closed regional framework, so is the subject of our attention.
The USA from the practical global hegemony dominates in the worlds inter civilizational interaction, leaving far the group of the main contenders for the economic leadership in the world. This country is based on its economic power and military potential, cynically manipulated by the "American model" of a set of universal values. The American national interests associated with the interests of the whole world1. Protest against the leadership of the USA in the Western civilization of the consumerism will not, provided that the country is only one version of an example for humanity.
The leaders of the world economy, of course, they are India and China. Not rule out that China's economic expansion, which will complement its socio-cultural insight into the life of the people of Europe, Africa and, of course, of the South Asian region. Then do not exclude the traditional spiritual corrosion the potential of the Anglo-Saxon morals or the Western European symbi- osis. The expansion of Chinese business practices may be a factor of slow release (displacement) of the nucleus of the European culture of the mental consciousness of the Western individual with simultaneous replacement of the spiritual attributes of the fault of Europeans Chinese way of life.
This is the probable ferment of the process of the Chinese assimilation of the consumer sentiment of the African – Southern - European nations. But the hypothesis of a similar culturological modernization of the traditional values of the Western philosophy is adjacent to the recognition of the history of the European paradox, partly African, civilizations. Chinese-Asian sociocultural dissonance is the need of civilized human progress in the optimal spiritual consciousness.
In our opinion, the rest of the world for the next three to four centuries probably will not be ready to assimilate the Asian philosophy of life. Evolutionary industrial demand will force the mankind to seek a compromise ideology of the cultural and historical improvement. Probably, at the junction of the cultures of Islam, Christianity, and new faces of integrable European mentality, which acquired during the historical Mixing Capacity of the spiritual and cultural values of the people (ethnic groups), in the wake of the evolution of the leading companies in Europe will be a dilemma for himself cultural and philosophical potential of China (including its religion ). European nations are unlikely to deem it acceptable borrowing institution as a factor in its historical spiritual development, though its half billion people - the inevitable pressures on the world's social and demographic history .
In my opinion, in Russia appear the geopolitical socio -cultural chance to offer the world a historical futurological alternative to the global spiritual and cultural leadership in the future. What is the essence of this chance? In the opportunities and in the availability of the balance of time, not only for the critical revaluation causes social illnesses and the economic development of the XX century and at the beginning of the XXI century, but also to model of the ideological basis for the social revenge, lifting all layers of the population of Russia to upgrade the structural model of the social state.
This is facilitated by the specific cyclical economic developments around the world. The States that now and later will come to the first criteria of the super industrial and mass prosperity, earlier than Russia run into the limits of the growth. They will be forced to stop before a wall of the economic power and the consumption of saturated for charting the direction of the development. Do we have everything, which we need? In my opinion, the brief historical material phase of the saturation is inevitable revolutionary replacement of the goals of the economic development (the company) on the development of man's inner world.
This is the beginning of the revolutionary cultural turning point in the history of the evolution of the social consciousness of humanity, when the processes of life dropping selfish motives completed the start of the crystallization process of the positive moral values that contributes to the establishment of a new system of the social life. In it, every citizen will be integrated with the surrounding community ideals, no longer the political slogans. This is a sign of a society in Russia of high spiritual culture as the historical background of life in accordance with the moral primary source of being, which is subject to an individual's personal freedom, harmony, happiness for him and good for society.
National elite, as the factor of the history of Russia: Pessimism or optimism of the hope in her future
Realistic formation of the ideology of the social revenge, her subsequent incorporation into the mechanism of the functioning of the state and society - an objective historical need to the strengthen geopolitical role of Russia in geo cultural XXII-XXIII centuries. Then the Russian state will not be 1150 years, marked now, and 2300 years. If during this period will not appear, and secure in space of Russian socio-cultural dominance, in the following century, the Russian world and get into the spirit of the Russian historical degeneration.
About its inevitability is reminding the words that "our country, unlike the Soviet Union, does not create any global patterns, alternative American. We left the higher historical league and fear because we've long had nothing2. If an increasing number of elite Russians will be under the banner of such reasoning, then, in the end, Russia and Russian culture will not stand socio - cultural dominance of the other branches of the world civilization and Russia as a nation will sink into oblivion. I can not even imagine that it is similar to the historical fate - the possible fate of my country, so I want to think about a bright destiny of Russian civilization as necessarily subject up-liftment of humanity to the heights of humanity, civil society and a harmonious social life. Priori certain that Russia might take in the future history of mankind due place only at the steady movement towards improving the spiritual and cultural life of the socio-economic development. This historical mission with continuous and consistent demonstration of Russia's ability to social-psychological comfort to its citizens. The mission is real when building a social model of society, attractive for planetary Russian world and all people who up to this stage of history to some extent preserved historical and cultural memory of a common past history of interaction.
Accent this moment deliberately. Country - leader is not difficult to become a hegemon in a separate phase of the historical process. There is enough of the phenomenon of Minin and
Pozharsky, Borodin, Sputnik and Yuri Gagarin, the flag-raising over the Reichstag reach the bottom at the North Pole or the encouragement of other nation’s internal social experiments, such as socialism. On the first phase of the testing historical paradigm of the socialist house really rocked many nations of the earth. But we have long known about the historic defeat of the Soviet Union in 1991 to create a new social order, so the advantages of the socialist absolutization regulators of the social progress, which would not be a scientific evaluation result of the civilizational achievements. And this does not preclude the recognition of the subjective reasons of the building the foundations of communism in 1980.
Firstly, was made the idealized path. But yet the dramatic crown experiment does not exclude the prospect of demand for its social experience descendants. After all, his goals were not utopian, and the identification of the public consciousness of the socialist principles of the economic equality and the social policy of good, important for the citizens of other countries. It is a historic achievement testing practices of the socialism.
Second, this way is objectively impossible to be successful, as many generations of Russians didn’t feel the ability of the public institutions of the USSR (Russia) to create conditions for fruitful work. Reproduction CPSU public appeal social system, ideology admiration best workers devalued systemic economic feudalism at work. When the whip over the back of the political compulsion to competition, and in the pocket - small coins, workdays, and the spiritual power of many citizens was pulled anti motivated shackled to the ground, blocking the highest productivity.
This criterion is known by V.I. Lenin, as one of the most important conditions for the victory of communism. It is long gone, but modern Russia has not jumped to a new model of the human factor. Country lag behind in labor productivity of 2-2.5 times of the industrialized nations, as recognized recently forecasting the development of the Russian Federation for 2013-2015.
One of the lines confirm the historically unfavorable attitude of the working man, and at the present stage is lower in comparison with the industrialized countries the share of wages in GDP. In 2002, this percentage was 46.3% in 2007, even lower - 45.6%3. In this process, there is the borderline state of motivation of employees to work productively, because the proportion of 40% is to minimize the desire of citizens to work honestly. In other words, Russia forced them to win on its individual phases of the history of mass sacrifice of the people, rather than the art skills to direct his energy to the creative work have adequately assessed.
Here, in a timely manner to indicate a further judgment of the slow rise of Russia to the world championship: permanent rupture of the national elite with the worldview of the majority.
The elite have always wanted to live on the majestic heights of their needs, covering the view of life of the people. This is one of the causes of the present historic opportunities narrowing social and economic revival of Russia, its leadership role. We have no right to retouch epistemological aspects of the content of the historical practice of Russia.
Large range of the socio-economic indicators of the UN member states which position Russia in the world process of a serious system failures in its social health. Over the years 1990-2010 Russia broke into the first place in the world of Mental Disorders of the population and the number of suicides among the elderly, children and adolescents, according to the number of children abandoned by their parents, the death rate from heart disease and heroin. Russia leads in the consumption of alcohol, tobacco, and the number of people who died because of this. Russia is in the second hundred of the level of physical security, political rights and freedoms, in terms of health and life expectancy of men and women. While Russia is not to be an example to other countries on state spending on citizen (72 seats), the standard of living (67 seats), the level of human development (71 seats), the per capita income (97th place).
These indicators of the state of Russian society – are the eloquent symbols of the outcome not only of the process of the civil millennial cultural and psychological socialization but also the effectiveness of the strategic course of the development of Russia last 20-30 years. Empathy for the people of the elite was no empathy to the society, and the way to save it its position. Assisted mass enslavement of consciousness citizens promises a good future in 10, 20 and so the number of years (communism, private apartments, decent pensions, pay equity, and so on).
Ruling elite, periodically changing these promises, operated out of the people, but sooner or later they called faults of the social and individual consciousness of Russians. They could only be painkilled by the extravagant ideas, let the people from the differentiation of grain and chaff similar strategies to manage the development of the country. This is the background of the possible concepts of a special path of the development and movement of Russia to a worthy place in the world, the resuscitation of the postulate of the third Rome, updating the Western judgments about the incomprehensibility of the Russian soul. Reclamation of the elites of any such idea – is a sign that once again need a kind of power, Ivan Susanin, who will lead her world of the historical impasse indignation of citizens will take the strategies of "optimization" of the next process with antisocial bias in mainstream marginal novelty.
Hope on the optimization of the parameters of the future place of Russia in the world dismayed by the indisputable fact that during 110 years, Russia has lost the face of the progressive advanced development. During this time, Japan almost tripled its economic importance, and the
USA is almost maintained their economic dominance in the world. Even Russian's northern neighbors (Norway, Sweden) were able to get ahead, despite the fact that the rest of the world dinamically went forward. In other words, they were able to synthesize all the factors and make a historical success. The share of Russia in the global production of GDP was less than a factor of 2. This kind of revenge of the past social order for economic mistakes and proof that the political elite (communist, market) has failed and is not able to manage such a large ship, like Russia. If the country in the international competitiveness ranking is 67th, then one of the reasons for the slow change rank this position even agree Dmitry Medvedev. It is ineffective functioning of the state apparatus.
This identity of the political system of the state – is an unpleasant logical assumption that Russia is easier to be a pioneer of accumulation and increase of the historical errors, than to be the subject of prevention. National elite can not find an innovative outlook, at times liberating her spiritual interests of hypertrophied passion to the love, as in the past, and now prevents her to pioneer the use of effective tools for development rights, respect for the ordinary citizen of the country without commercial property. About 84% of the population surveyed notice analogs such motivation. The flip side of it is the creation of social psychology and ideology of the cult of lucre and approval regime of public relations, where it is impossible to be honest and it is impossible to store-confident person. The maintenance of this specific mass psychology can cause doubt that XXI century will be the era of Russian geopolitical success.
The essence of the mission of the social leadership of the Russian Federation
We were not impressed by the short-term ups of the international authority of Russia, occasional rises to the Olympic gold, rare football success of fortune, even though they generate fresh ideas and fundamental development of the state and society. The principle is more important and also important the sustainable leadership of Russia to all future millennial way to its sovereign destiny. That is why it is necessary in a timely manner to realize that it is impossible to lead others, when the economic leader of the world's countries perceived heavy pressure, social space with uncomfortable institutional system of the social relations. D. Trenin4 thought, the strategy needs real vision of the world situation and its prospects. Its content can and should be the result of the creative work of many scientists and politicians. I also have a right to claim that part of the mission of the global leadership of Russia can and should be a process:
Achievement and reproduction of the internal socio-economic development, supporting the creation of a historical trend and continuous updating of the most advanced model of the or- ganization of the economy and public institutions in Russia, appealing to people of many countries in the world;
Highly developed society in which citizens of Russia can live to the highest standards of quality of life, mental health and social well-being, feel happy people and one people, proud of their country anywhere in the world.
This strategy may prove to be a magic wand, the project of a new geopolitical future of Russia. She must be in the hands of contemporaries who are obliged to go to different horizons geopolitical foresight and planning of historical creativity of the people. Existing evils of the social development will be more intolerant, and the goals of the leadership development will be more necessary if the future state will design not for 20-30 years, and at least 2-3 centuries. Moreover, geopolitical stability of large states, such as Russia, supported the project view of the millennium ahead. In this case the phenomenon of night blindness is excluded from the subjects of the process of the historical development of Russia: the politicians and the people receiving the knowledge of the vector of its mission.
I studied the theoretical concept of the leadership development strategy of Russia in 20203020s through the political doctrine of the consolidation of the political interests of the elite and the main part of the citizens of modern Russia, now separated palliative situation on the struggle for power in the country. This concept - is a long-term core crystallization of a new civil culture of Russian society, generating and reproducing mass psychology of the inviolability of statehood and historical consistency of Russia. The great ideas generate spiritual animated burst of the energy of the social edification of the people, when the status of small gray mouse, unattractive fuss does not suit any person-citizen or a dominant part of the society. Encouraging sign of feeling such a need can be called political and philosophical outline Report of the President of the Russian Federation at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum 2012.
Such ideas are needed to upgrade the historical mainstream of Russia as the "right frame of mind of people of all ages, social and political groups directly determines the well-being of the Fatherland."5 However, provided that the real practice of the work of elite will stimulate the Russian individual to recognize the historical and creating role of each citizen, to promote the public motives of their activities. Russia can lead the world, and if we learn to integrate the interests of all social groups attractive ideas development.
Purpose of Russia as a world leader comes to the ability to show to other countries new orientation of the social organization of the society, of the ability to support Russian's claim to the authority of the potential global supply rest of the world of ideas and technologies, their application. Then the work of each generation of Russians in this area will be evaluated positively in the international community. Then recognition of Russia's global role in the global governance of the world today, over 100-200 years old and in the third millennium will be credible evidence of geopolitical knowledge and skills of political and corporate elite to manage the state. Then inevitably will shine spotlights successful creation of the Eurasian civilization as one of the leaders in the development of mankind.
The theory of its worlds leadership (the hegemony of the state) has no genetic connection to the theory of a world government, cultivated by individual candidates for the dominant position in the world. Under this option, think - is fundamentally contrary to the nature of the treatment of Russian society and the state. It has never been a parent, let alone a knight, a world government.
Disadvantages of the social and economic development, fortunately, also a historical advantage of Russia. Technological backwardness of the economy, illegal forms of life on the basis of the concept of consciousness, passing from one generation to social evils, especially poor quality of life, preventing be happy, leave open the possibility of the economic growth in the longer historical term.
Russia in all spheres of the organization of the society will move to a system of the organizational and moral support to the pioneers of the high technologies, not including such approach, particularly the social technologies, but claiming trust of life and management subjects of Russia. Citizen initiative improves the efficiency of the functioning of the state institutions and society, should be allocated a place at the front of the queue necessities.
Perhaps I idealize this Futurological perspective of Russia. And again I will repeat: "This is the idealization that being taken into the service can quietly bring Russian society to the model being attractive to repeat other people."6
Derivation of Russia into five countries - the leaders of the global competition (in the top ten of the world's economic leaders) involves not only effective and continuous innovation to modernize the national economy. This requires anticipatory, relative to the period of transition to new technological systems, training and freedom from defects related to a holder is characteristic of the current phase of Russian history.
Exceptional historical presumption of the success in this area will be a number of people with no modern intellectual baggage, and the presence of the national management, capable of stimulating its use to achieve at each micro-economic activities of the highest productivity. It is a factor of the active treatment to high technology savings, consistent positioning of the leadership opportunities in Russia transplantation of vital organs in the treatment of cardiovascular disease, cancer and other diseases. World social achievement of the country - it is the largest (in comparison with any other country) the number of high-tech operations, a minimum percentage of fatal results from them, the maximum longevity in the world of Russians. The dynamics of progress in ensuring the quality of health and life expectancy is important to take a synthetic character confirm Russia's leadership role in the world in all forms and aspects of its historical path.
Agreement with this idea of adding is legitimate its position that Russia can and should borrow successful foreign policy actions of other leaders of the world (USA, UK, China) to protect its sovereign national interests. But leaders can be called only at the initiation of new tools for solving the internal problems of Russian society, and response to external challenges of the wider political and spiritual support of Russia. Moral image of the country – is the most attractive force for psychological leadership. May return to Russia in 2011 32 thousands of compatriots is already a sign of this reputation.
Through the symbiosis of the culture –ethnographic identity of the people – to the planetary person
Russia is now entering in the window space of the Eurasian civilization, which has no one close, so citizen’s visa-free communication between Russia and Europe – is a natural and inevitable epilogue of the nearest future. Europe has no future without Russia, and if there is, for it to flawed economic and political risks. Cultural and historical practice, its the best example of the ability to transform into an important factor in the domestic and foreign policy7.
Russia – is a bridge between different civilizations and at the heart of the construction of the project is the idea of the spiritual and cultural unification of the Euro-Asian population of states. It is preceded by a strategic consolidation and spiritual and cultural rapprochement of the people of post-Soviet countries, and above all, the population of Russian-existent mental consciousness. 30-50 years continuous expansion of channels for their daily cooperation in all fields will supranational unions on various aspects of the social and economic integration.
One of the natural foundations of a partnership with the international community may be the recognition of the cultural identity of the people of other countries. Russia invited on its stage the creative world of humanity and showing on the sites of other countries cultural achievements of their people, creates and increases the efficiency of the mechanism for smooth movement towards global leadership. This variant of symbiosis with the environment, perhaps the most powerful warranty presence on the political map of the world of the future of public education of Russia. I cannot live forever, but I want to believe in the optimism of the centuries in its old historical perspective of our state.
It does not absorb the international integration and the demographic symbiosis of people living outside the present territory of the Russian Federation, on two conditions.
Firstly, if the geopolitical vector of Russian's internal development is the continuous implementation path to a unitary state. Federated inter subjective relations should wither away as the Institute for the maturation of the historical conditions. At the first stage it can affect regions that include the modern view to the natural territory of the residence of the Russian people. The second stage takes the national district (area) located on their territory, in municipalities with their inclusion in the composition of the subject. The third stage involves the state unitarization of the regions of Russia - the autonomous republic; non-Russian ethnic group name is defined to a particular subject of modern Russia.
Naturally, the way to the transformation of the administrative structure of the state is long and complicated. But to stimulate this dynamics – is the institutional imperative of the modern history of Russia to her distant future to be modern and free from social circumstances with the potential of ethnic separatism. Will not see any obstacles to the political institutions of the correction to the leveling of the economic protectionism to minority ethnic groups. Future superpower is more appropriate allocation of the object of the public attention, not of an ethnic group with a traditional way of life, economic and geographic characteristics of life and the economic activity of the population STI, located on the territory of the subject of the Russian Federation (municipal education).
Normal development of Russia should be equality for all groups regardless of the size and specific ethnic culture to homogeneous factors of life. Response of an institutional practice will ousting the periphery of consciousness ethnographic collisions communication because common practice of life will require a universal solution to the socio-economic problems that interfere with normal socialization of the population corresponding subject of the Russian Federation.
Secondly, if the mass consciousness of the population state and society will jointly crystallize the ethno-social group – is the Russian-speaking community of Russians. Absolutely unacceptable that invisible and irrelevant to us yet and philosophical perspectives (political) opposition to it now - no barriers objective of the river of human history. Where are the Slavic tribes, ances- tors of Russian on-kind noted in the "Tale of Bygone Years"? Growth of the population over 20 thousand years in the two thousand times as well as the reduction of tribes, groups, tribes, people - unstoppable part of the integration process of territories, business cultures and ways of life of the peoples. This process involves an objective trend and confirms acquisition diverse people united state education features one ethno community. At some point, the state and social development in the beauty of her sublimated multinational, multi-ethnic and multi-religious people of Russia today.
Objections to this channel of the internal consolidation of people do not cancel the proposed technology of the evolutionary modernization of the national and ethnic portrait of the Russian Federation. Theoretically, it can be assumed about the different options for addressing the problem of formation of assimilated people, but is counterproductive to deny any possibility of such prospect. In my opinion, the announcement today of the process to be impossible - a future form of distrust and objectivity of history itself. This is the first thing. I predict that domestic ethnic self-determination as an integral link of the history of our state in the next 100-300 years will go to their self-adaptive mode, the laws of the Russian people - the ethnic group, which has long been a socio-cultural linking of all people of Russia. Secondly, stir about a model community of people ethno-political roulette can only members of a particular ethnic group, whose thinking infected with the bacilli of nationalism. The future is clear to anyone who goes beyond such thinking. The associated people – are an inevitable concomitant of the forthcoming Millennium Russia. And the recognition of the possibility of the dissolution of one ethnic group to another people is a condition for the optimal transformation of national identity (feelings, culture) of numerous ethnic groups of the country into the Russian Unitarianism.
The trappings of the process of movement of the associated society will transition to linguistic homogeneity of the population of Russia. More dynamic culture of aging single historical existence is helping what is now about 80-90% of Russian population is able to use domestic Russian. For France, this process may be slower and more difficult, as there is significant number of citizens of the French language in the world to recognize it as a native, but nevertheless do not consider themselves French. In France, the difference between these figures - 35 million people, and for comparison, in Germany - 13 million people.8.
Prediction of the ethno consolidation of the society and the natural dynamics in the context of the human history, assimilation of all social, ethnic groups in the country, which can anticipate the scientific truth: this process will allow fixing the vector of the unitary state in the period
2300-2600 years of the Russian history. When an accomplished ethno-genetic mixation of the Russian people, which will increase Russian geopolitical solvency for another few thousand years ahead.
But this is the only part of the futurological future of Russia. In his hands, the burden of the utopian or realistic acknowledgment of the historical outcome of our state and society. The second part of his success on the geopolitical horizon centuries of the future, the provision of maximum autonomy long Russian-speaking society in multilingual planetary community. It will also improve the lives of the world organization. The modern era of human life - is more than 200 countries, thousands of languages, large and small nations, it is being citizens with mental ethno consciousness, ethnic identity and culture. I presume that these differences still strong and vibrant start to shrink supra-ethnic needs, global needs of everyday practice of social communications, each country will be tempted to integrate the planetary collective choice between nationalism and social security of the planetary society, interested in the universal laws of being assimilated. Even the presence of seven spans on the forehead can not highlight the historic bridges of integration of peoples and countries in the global institutions of the world. However, some basic design trends of spiritual and cultural assimilation of peoples foreshadows modern practice. First of all, the degree of convergence of the historical drama realistic three global cultural and demographic processes. One perspective - for predominantly mono-ethnic (eg China), monolingual countries. The cycle of their existence is dependent on two factors: population, cultural ethnic motivation to single states (Europe, Asia, and America). Another alternative - for the states, home to two of the nation and dominated the two languages (eg, Canada, Belgium, Spain, UK). Different content possible history of development, which is difficult to even futuristic design, can be extended to the country with the number of ethnicities 100-150 (India, Indonesia).
Russia, in my opinion, has historically survived (outside until the people of the Caucasus), the most difficult battle of the ethnic groups (nations) for national self-determination within the state. She gained a unique experience in the construction of large multi-national state, whose population is more than 150 nations, specific experience of their development and mutual communication, enmity and friendship, various mental values and beliefs about the future. Now it may be the subject of an experienced consultant with a soft global process of socialization and humanization of acceptable human history.
Usefulness of the Russian experience of the international community will only increase, as the nationalism, in spite of tolerance and multicultural, it will still be a particular motive, highlight the status of one of the ethnic groups over another. Offer this experience to other countries, not the regulatory imposition, also an additional channel for the creation of preconditions for strengthening geopolitical authority of Russia. Moreover, the point of the passage will update Belinski of the occurrence of each nation (people) desire to be the outbreak, for example, not only Russian (the Germans, the Chinese, the Americans), but part of a more inclusive society, such as Russian in the European spirit. Two centuries Russia displaces aziatizm of consciousness layman, seeks to strengthen the mental Europeanism, hurrying for the progress of civilization of European culture. Where, then, shows the vector of development of the European and Asian nations? What can target Europeans, going into the future? Take into account whether the Europeans Asians, increasing its representation on the stage of global history? We are still unclear mechanisms of their socio-cultural approach, the historical association in the single European society.
We can also suggest that the first stage of the future of humanity in each country, with a population using different languages, will be the rejection of the three-, bi-lingualism, and the transition to a common language of communication of citizens. Hypothetically, it is possible to wonder which of the modern languages, the most common current (English, French, Spanish, Russian, Chinese, etc.), will be in the next 2-3 years, the language of the thousands of the world community. Before that, a country will inevitably burst through the history of the nationalist struggle (war), the most radical advocates of linguistic and ethnic identity. Humanity will survive the most critical phase of its social and cultural evolution, but can not stop the internationalization of the people of the world, because the power requirements of the social progress multilingual state is above the desires and capabilities of individual ethnic groups.
Cultural affectivity of the integrate people – is an alternative to the quick disappearance from the historical and demographic scene. Any people (especially the fewer ethnic group or with a small population - 8-15 million people) should not be premature to temporarily close its identity, as it is crucial to build on Futurological demographic patterns of the integration in the world, cultural and demographic vanguard of the humanity in the face of clearly gravitating to the dominance in the distant future planetary civilization. People (ethnic group) of any state characterized by one or another system in a process of natural landmarks. And our intelligence justifying the horizons of the history of their development, it is not connected with razio. We can’t be witnesses of the far future, but we are not allowed to pick up his contemporaries on the basis of our understanding of the nature of the future governance criteria, guaranteeing a competitive advance Russia's leading countries in the world at any stage of the historical process of interaction with them. We have no other evidence of a realistic strategy for the development of the country, but we are sure that no one takes away the right for Russia to go down to.
Perhaps these reflections about the place and the role of Russia in the future world - is the calculation for the phenomenal wonder of the world history. I don’t want to have such association. Russia's mission is to be the first and to build the route of the preserving the cultural identity of all their people, providing maximum disclosure as an institution of pooling of the spiritual development of Russian society. It will take that in a positive and harmonious for all sorts of the extreme ethnic and national, to build and consolidate the channels of the spiritual and cultural consolidation of the universal norms of life. This is the premise of the exclusive process of the gradual historical self assimilation of all the ethnic groups with the Russian people. They trusted him the originality of their language and ethnic identity. Then a single whole Russian community and embody of the flavor of all the nations (ethnic groups), residing in the territory of the modern Russia. The variety of the single people will light the diversity of cultures and local economic activity accommodations Russians.
The policy should help to the confirmation in the global world of the authority of the social practice in Russia
Ethical and moral foundations of the geopolitical leadership of Russia in all ages will be useful if the government institutions of the state will not abuse the "science of subliminal man" under the pretext of improper design of his mind. They should base on the taboo, that "there is no state considerations which can be canceled" democracy choice of values in the life, and the more control of the life, dignity and conscience of each man, to adjust the harmony of the natural development of the society under the regulatory submission..
Recall about the basic requirements of the international prestige of the country forcing the past. Earlier, Russia has demonstrated the attractiveness of the social world of the Soviet system. So make sure its citizens, while changing the social order is not lifted the iron curtain on the real perception of the socialist practice. That is why it is appropriate to separate politics and science of building a society, because it is two sides of looking at the world in which we live.
Politicians are interested in the stability and the sustainability of the public authorities and public institutions that support them. Policies often take democracy institute psychological manipulation (fraud) with the mass consciousness and not an instrument of the dialogue between the state and society on arrangement of a reasonable quality of life for each person, each family, not just the corporate and government elite. Modern practice, starting with Russia in 1993, including the revolution in different colors in the African countries, confirms that the system of the government institutions often cease to function as the people's representatives. Then there is an escalation of the social and political protests of the population, then the people out on the street.
In front of the science raises another problem: to study the practice of these institutions, to assess the degree of compliance with the interests of the country without fear of identifying problems of the state and society, to offer their solutions and to put scientific knowledge at the service of society. Radical protest movements as a real historical conflict between power and people are one of the reasons of the ideological demarcation of power and science. Existing institutions, as a rule, generate disgruntled public abstract forms on the absurdity of unconstitutional change of the government. Science, however, can not deny the natural right of the people to change their government process that has matured in the society. Cause a change of government institutions illegitimate science sees no people, but the political regime itself, which proved incompetent guide of the history of his people.
Such moments of the mass reactions of the population – is a specific form of the moral self-respect, by the logic of the social modernization in the undemocratic society. If humanity has lived on the hook ideas fealty bad power, it would have long ago stopped to improve the mechanism of power and the development of the state. It would be forever a slave to one master (one tyrant, one party, one ghost, usually unrealized ideas, and so on). It is important to know that the longer the bureaucracy remains the most privileged group in society, does not solve the problems of the majority of citizens, the more society is to recognize their lack of freedom - political and economic, the more dynamic inflow of people into the columns of the political opponents.
Russia is no exception to these laws of the social development. However, it has two individual holdings of the socio-political processes at a level that is almost enough to demonstrate the involvement of Russia in the Western establishment of democratic values. First, the government is able to undermine the position in a timely manner to any political opposition and public figure when he comes to the status of a significant subject of political life. Second, these subjects, being natives of the existing institutions of executive power, are often amazed genome social cowardice and insincerity of public policy, so they are not there mass public trust.
Such a long introduction, we had to, because the future of Russia always represents a compromise between the latest world views, the experience of their use by the subjects of the historical practice and the ability to correct its defects (errors). The potential impact on the world hegemon must remember that the world authority of the country preceded advanced the social policies for the development of every nation (ethnos), all citizens of the state. For the first violin providing innovative attractiveness of the practice of the social development of the country taking the strategic policy of the social development of Russia and its ideological line extension task in the geopolitical corridor for promotion (replication) of the social and cultural achievements of our country.
There is no need in creating the illusory notions, in the research of metaphors to accomplish this. Penetration in certain areas of the global space is to use the open road, a standard for all members of the international process. This cultural and educational exchanges, international trade, migration support (tourism), the activity of foreign investors and business players operating in the markets of other countries (especially in the developing and highly industrialized countries), cooperation in international organizations, representing the institutions of global impact on the world.
Russian's commitment to these institutions of the contact with the outside world, which will accelerate the integration of its role as the subject of the formation of not only the lasting stability of the world, but also, due to the successful implementation of this function, the geopolitical prestige of the national practices of the social development for future generations of the states.
What conclusions follow from the arguments? In its approach to the definition of the global channel leadership of Russia is not dominated by the idea of the exclusive right of Russia to be the first on the planet. With an abundance of candidates for the centers of the multi polar world that is no longer a secret and certainly does not negate the assumption that the structure of these centers can dramatically updated every 50-70 years, it is foolish to associate our Russia party of the world process, the smartest farsightedness. The question is not whether or not to develop Russia. Natural historical evolution cancels any historical cataclysm. Theory of leadership is needed for other useful things: to prove the inevitable elimination of Russia from the forefront of history, if it will not play the social forces that could give impulse to the development of the country's continuing growth of the productive forces and ensure a stable place in the top five in all conflicts super-historical progress.
This task is supported by the development of the spiritual infrastructure of the historical fate of Russia - the formation of the historical optimism in each of new generation of Russians. This is one of the least visible resources of the society, one of the most solid pillars indispensable advancing average dynamics, which, being tomography everyday states of souls of Russian citizens, could prevent the state slipping beyond twenty leading countries in the world.
His arguments, however they were not speculative or fantastic, I base it advanced social role of Russia in the world and for the world. Not associate a set of previous defeats Russia, its technological imperfections, resource curse, dislike and suspicion of the Western world to the Russian world barrier to cultivating global leadership mission in Russia. Any sores passed its histor- ical roads, minor fixed under its banner of science and technology (eg, Nobel) and cultural ups do not cancel the possibility of being more advanced subject of the historical building. After all, who bit a lot of time, the faster the great-looking methodology for the victory.
World history - is not a lightning war, for which one needs a commander in chief. This social development, the primary role of which belongs to the people and the union leaders. People "do not shoot" in the back of manager development (social, business), where the union is based on the reasonable consensus of the present and the future of man.
The needs of different eras of his life are inconsistent, but who finds harmony between the ruble and the conscience will inevitably become a strategic leadership of the mission of Russia and the moderator of the humanitarian organization fair of Russian society. Who trust in God, he is not conscious of the subject in the history of his homeland. Russia need to believe in a man who combines the energy and imagination of this being the day of the future, pragmatic self-interest of the working day and the ideological optimism movement for personal happiness.
Список литературы The mission of Russia − is to be an example of building the world power with the optimal social – cultural model of the development of the nations
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