Urban spatial expansion prediction using Sleuth (the case of Darkhan city, Mongolia)
Автор: Munkhnaran Sugar, Chinbat Badamdorj, Myagmartseren Purevtseren, Bolormaa Batsuuri, Gantulga Gombodorj, Bazarkhand Tsegmid, Zaya Chinbat, Dulguun Boldbaatar
Журнал: Природа Внутренней Азии @nature-inner-asia
Рубрика: География
Статья в выпуске: 2-3 (21), 2022 года.
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The aim of this study is to simulate the urban sprawl of Darkhan city and to predict future urban expansion using the SLEUTH CA model. The model performs mathematical calculations based on the historical change in urban growth from the past to the present and models future trends using 8 expansion indices and 5 coefficients.The spatial expansion of Darkhan city is expected to increase steadily by 1%, and the rate of expansion is expected to decline between 2035 and 2040 due to the impact of land resources and constraints. The SLEUTH model presented an edge growth that accounts for about 95% of the total expansion.
Urban sprawl, urban spatial expansion, simulation, prediction
Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/148325683
IDR: 148325683 | DOI: 10.18101/2542-0623-2022-2/3-101-114
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